含风光互补的独立发电系统可靠性评估  

A Reliability Assessment of Independent Power Generation System with Wind and Solar Complementation

作　　者：应飞祥 张恩睦 李琰[1] 何民 杨捷 田华[3] 邓亚琪 徐天奇[1] YING Feixiang;ZHANG Enmu;LI Yan;HE Min;YANG Jie;TIAN Hua;DENG Yaqi;XU Tianqi(School of Electrical and Infonnation Technology,Yunnan Minzu University,Kunming 650500,China;State Grid Zhejiang Jiande Power Supply Co.Ltd,Hangzhou 311600,China;Kunming Electric Apparatus Research Institute,Kunming 6502219,China;Faculty of Electrical Power Engineering,Kunming University of Science and Technology,Kunming 650504,China)

机构地区：[1]云南民族大学电气信息工程学院,云南昆明650500 [2]国网浙江建德市供电有限公司,浙江杭州311600 [3]昆明电器科学研究所,云南昆明650221 [4]昆明理工大学电力工程学院,云南昆明650504

出　　处：《昆明理工大学学报（自然科学版）》2019年第6期71-81,共11页Journal of Kunming University of Science and Technology(Natural Science)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(61461055,61761049);云南省应用基础研究计划青年基金项目(2017FD120);云南省教育厅科学研究基金项目(2019Y0169);云南民族大学研究生创新基金研究项目(2018YJCXS165)

摘　　要：风光互补发电系统的应用愈发广泛,但因其具有间隙性、波动性的特点,对系统可靠性会造成一定的影响.为了更好地评估含风光互补的独立发电系统可靠性,在分析风力及光伏发电机组停运、降额等因素对可靠性的影响的基础上建立了含风光互补的独立发电系统可靠性评估模型.采用序贯蒙特卡洛法在RBTS测试系统下评估风力发电机组、光伏发电机组、风光互补系统、风机/光伏发电机组停运状态随机性、渗透率等因素对独立发电系统可靠性的影响.算例结果表明该可靠性评估方法可为实际的含风光互补系统的独立发电系统规划提供一定的参考.The application of wind-solar hybrid power generation system is more and more extensive, but its characteristics of gap and volatility have some impact on system reliability. In order to better evaluate the reliability of independent power generation system with wind and solar complementation, a reliability evaluation model of independent power generation system with wind and solar complementation is established based on the analysis of the impact of wind power and photovoltaic generator set outage and derating on the reliability. The sequential Monte Carlo method is used to evaluate the effects of factors such as the wind turbine generator, photovoltaic generator set, wind and solar hybrid system, wind/photovoltaic generator set outage randomness and permeability on the reliability of the independent power generation system under the RBTS test system. The results of the example show that the reliability assessment method can provide a reference for the actual independent power generation system planning with wind and solar hybrid systems.

关 键 词：风光互补 发电系统 可靠性评估 蒙特卡洛算法 渗透率 

分 类 号：TM614[电气工程—电力系统及自动化] TM615