宁夏农村生活用水定额预测  

Analysis of Rural Domestic Water Quota in Ningxia

作　　者：张志科 ZHANG Zhike(Pengyang County Water Authority,Pengyang,Ningxia 756500,China)

机构地区：[1]彭阳县水务局

出　　处：《水利与建筑工程学报》2019年第6期240-244,共5页Journal of Water Resources and Architectural Engineering

基　　金：国家科技支撑计划子课题“规模化灌溉管网优化设计及安全调控技术”(2015BAD24B02-01)

摘　　要：为探明宁夏农村居民生活用水量和生活水平的关系,统计分析了近十几年宁夏的农村人均可支配收入和农村人均用水量的散点图,用平方逼近作拟合曲线并分析其相关关系。分析表明,农村居民生活人均用水量会随着农村人均可支配收入的增加而增加,但增长趋势会逐渐变缓直到达到当前收入水平下的用水方式对应的用水量的上限。当收入增长至下一个阶段,居民生活用水方式发生改变,人均用水量才会进一步增加。农村居民生活用水定额随着收入的增长而增长,不断接近城市用水定额并最终和城市用水定额相同。In order to figure out the relationship between the water consumption and living standards of rural residents,this paper calculates the per capita disposable income of rural people and the per capita water consumption in rural areas in Ningxia in the past ten years during which square approximation is adopted to fit the scatter plot and analyze its correlation.The results show that per capita water consumption of rural residents will increase with the increase of rural disposable income,but the growth rate will gradually slow down until the upper limit corresponding to the current mode of water use is reached.When the income grows to the next stage,the way residents using water changes,and the per capita water consumption will further increase.The rural household water quota increases with the increase of income,and it will become to be closer to the urban water quota and finally will be the same as the urban water quota.

关 键 词：农村供水 居民生活用水量 变化关系 用水定额预测 

分 类 号：TV93[水利工程—水利水电工程]