浅析水文气象预报存在误差的原因  

Analysis on the causes of errors in Hydrometeorological Forecast

作　　者：覃连昉 QIN Lianfang(Nandan County Meteorological Bureau Hechi,Guangxi 547299)

机构地区：[1]南丹县气象局

出　　处：《现代农业研究》2020年第1期128-129,共2页Modern Agriculture Research

摘　　要：水文气象预报与人类日常生活息息相关,并且能为人们的生产经营活动提供一定的参考。但是水文气象预报会因为观测技术差异、工作人员素质差异、预报模型运用差异等多种因素而导致预报出现误差。为了帮助人们更准确地理解预报误差产生的原因,本文将简单分析总结导致水文气象预报存在误差的各种可能因素,并提出相应的对策。Hydrometeorological forecast is closely related to human daily life,and can provide certain refer⁃ence for people's production and operation activities.However,the hydrometeorological forecast will be caused by many factors,such as the difference of observation technology,the difference of staff quality,the difference of forecast model application and so on.In order to help people understand the causes of forecast errors more accurately,this paper will simply analyze and summarize various possible factors that lead to the existence of errors in hydrometeorological forecast,and put forward corresponding countermeasures.

关 键 词：水文气象 预报误差 原因 方法 

分 类 号：P45[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]