杭州市住宅楼面地价时空演变特征研究  

The spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of residential floor price in Hangzhou

作　　者：虞晓芬[1] 沈佳慧[1] 湛东升 YU Xiaofen;SHEN Jiahui;ZHAN Dongsheng(School of Management,Zhejiang University of Technology,Hangzhou 310023,China)

机构地区：[1]浙江工业大学管理学院

出　　处：《浙江工业大学学报（社会科学版）》2019年第4期404-410,共7页Journal of Zhejiang University of Technology：Social Sciences

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71774144)

摘　　要：住宅土地价格一直是房地产市场调控中备受关注的问题。采用GIS统计分析方法和克里金插值法,对2005-2018年杭州市住宅楼面地价的时空演变特征进行分析。结果显示:在此期间杭州住宅楼面地价总体呈波动上涨趋势,可将其划分为波动期(2005-2010年)、低谷期(2011-2015年)、高峰期(2016-2018年)三个阶段;住宅楼面地价在空间分布上呈现出以西湖为中心的圈层结构,存在空间分异性。研究以楼面地价视角更直观地解读杭州城市内部空间结构的变化规律,梳理住宅楼面地价时空演变的驱动因素,从而为政府合理调控土地市场提供政策建议。Residential land prices have always been a hot issue in the regulation of the real estate market. This essay analyzes the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of the residential land price from 2005 to 2018 in Hangzhou by GIS statistical analysis method and Kriging Interpolation method. The results show that during this period,the residential land price in Hangzhou rises on the whole with fluctuation,which can be divided into the Volatility Period(2005-2010),the Trough Period(2011-2015),and the Peak Period(2016-2018). The spatial distribution of residential land price is a circle structure centered around the West Lake. The research interprets the changes of urban spatial structure from the perspective of floor price,and summarizes the driving factors of the spatial and temporal evolution of residential floor prices,thus provides policy-making advice for the government to rationally regulate the land market.

关 键 词：住宅楼面地价 克里金插值 时空演变 驱动因素 

分 类 号：F293.3[经济管理—国民经济]