基于热传导原理的中国与北极国家“经济通实力”演化研究  

Evolution of “Connective Power of Economic” Between China and Arctic Countries Based on the Principle of Heat Conduction

作　　者：李振福 周玉涛 邓昭 梁珊珊 Li Zhenfu;Zhou Yutao;Deng Zhao;Liang Shanshan(College of Transportation Engineering,Dalian Maritime University,Dalian 116026,China)

机构地区：[1]大连海事大学交通运输工程学院

出　　处：《工业技术经济》2020年第2期82-91,共10页Journal of Industrial Technological Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金后期资助项目“‘通实力’研究”(项目编号:19FZZB013);国家社会科学基金重大项目“中国北极航线战略与海洋强国建设研究”(项目编号:13&ZD170)

摘　　要：为揭示中国对北极国家经济连通性的影响规律,本文提出“经济通实力”概念,并针对不同国家间的“经济通实力”传导影响现象,探讨“经济通实力”的传导特征及原因;借鉴热传导理论构建“经济通实力”传导模型,分析2005~2017年中国对北极国家“经济通实力”的影响程度。演化结果清晰地反映了中国对北极国家经济连通性的影响程度和影响趋势变化特征:(1)随着中国“经济通实力”水平的不断提升,美国对中国的影响程度呈衰减态势;中国对加拿大、俄罗斯及北欧五国的影响程度显著上升;(2)北极航线开通后,美国对中国的影响程度增幅较小,中国对俄罗斯的影响程度保持不变,对加拿大和北欧五国的影响程度增幅较大。In order to reveal the law of China's influence on the economic connectivity of the Arctic countries,the concept of“connective power of economic”is first proposed,and then the“connective power of economic”transmission influence phenome⁃non among different countries is discussed,and the transmission characteristics and causes of“connective power of economic”are discussed.Secondly,it draws on the theory of heat conduction to construct the“connective power of economic”transmission mo⁃del,and analyzes the degree of China's influence on the“connective power of economic”of the Arctic countries in 2005-2017.The evolution results clearly reflect China's influence on the economic connectivity of the Arctic countries and the changing charac⁃teristics of the impact trends:(1)with the continuous improvement of China's“connective power of economic”level,the degree of influence of the United States on China is gradually decreasing;China's influence on Canada,Russia and the Nordic countries is increasing.(2)After the opening of the Arctic route,China's influence on the“connective power of economic”of the Arctic countries varies.The degree of influence of the United States on China has increased slightly.The degree of influence of China on Russia has remained the same,and the degree of influence on Canada and the five Nordic countries has increased significantly.

关 键 词：热传导 “经济通实力” 北极国家 经济连通性 时空性 经贸合作关系 

分 类 号：F125[经济管理—世界经济] F416.47