工业集聚对大气污染的影响及门槛特征检验——基于大气污染防治技术创新的视角  

The Spatial Spillover Effects and Threshold Effects of Industrial Agglomeration on Air Pollution: From the Perspective of Technological Innovation on Air Pollution Control

作　　者：赵增耀[1] 毛佳 周晶晶 Zhao Zengyao;Mao Jia;Zhou Jingjing(School of Business,Soochow University,Suzhou 215021,P.R.China;School of Business,Nantong University,Nantong 226019,P.R.China)

机构地区：[1]苏州大学商学院,苏州215021 [2]南通大学商学院,南通226019

出　　处：《山东大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2020年第1期123-133,共11页Journal of Shandong University(Philosophy and Social Sciences)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目“产业集聚中的碳排放、空气污染及其协同治理研究”(71873093);国家自然科学基金项目“产业集聚环境效应的机理、评价与调控研究”(71673196)

摘　　要：以我国2003-2017年31个省市自治区(不含港澳台)面板数据为样本,采用空间计量模型和面板门槛回归模型实证检验了工业集聚、大气污染防治技术创新与大气污染之间的关系。实证结果表明:工业集聚和大气污染存在显著的空间关联特征,并且工业集聚对大气污染的影响受到技术创新能力的制约;大气污染防治技术创新能力对工业集聚与大气污染之间的作用效果存在显著的单一门槛效应,当技术创新能力较低时,工业集聚会导致大气污染程度的进一步恶化,而当技术创新能力跨越一定的门槛值时,工业集聚将会对大气污染防治产生积极的影响,有助于大气质量的改善。This paper uses the panel data of 31 provinces, cities and autonomous regions from 2003 to 2016 as a sample, and empirically examines the relationship among industrial agglomeration, technological innovation of atmospheric pollution prevention and atmospheric pollution using spatial econometric model and panel threshold regression model. The empirical results show that:(1) there are significant spatial correlations between industrial agglomeration and atmospheric pollution;(2) the impact of industrial agglomeration on atmospheric pollution is constrained by the capability of technological innovation;(3) the capability of technological innovation in air pollution prevention and control has a significant single-threshold effect on the effect of industrial agglomeration and air pollution. When the capability of technological innovation is low, industrial gatherings lead to further deterioration of air pollution, and when technological innovation capability exceeds a certain threshold, industrial agglomeration will affect the atmosphere. Pollution prevention and control have a positive impact and contribute to the improvement of air quality.

关 键 词：工业集聚 大气污染 空间溢出 门槛效应 

分 类 号：X51[环境科学与工程—环境工程]