外商直接投资与农村剩余劳动力转移——基于复杂网络视角  

Foreign Direct Investment and Redundant Rural Labor Force——Based on the Perspective of Complex Network

作　　者：祝鹏飞[1] 赵德昭 吴钢[3] ZHU Pengfei;ZHAO Dezhao;WU Gang(School of Economics and Trade,Hunan University,Changsha 410006,China;Finance&Taxation College,Henan University of Economics and Law,Zhengzhou 450046,China;School of International Business,Southwest University of Finance and Economics,Chengdu 611130,China)

机构地区：[1]湖南大学经济与贸易学院,湖南长沙410079 [2]河南财经政法大学财政税务学院,河南郑州450046 [3]西南财经大学国际商学院,四川成都611130

出　　处：《经济经纬》2020年第1期68-76,共9页Economic Survey

基　　金：国家社会科学基金青年项目(16CJL023);河南财经政法大学青年拔尖人才资助计划(hncjzfdxqnbjrc201710)

摘　　要：基于复杂网络视角,运用复杂社会网络分析方法,对外商直接投资和农村剩余劳动力之间的空间网络关联关系进行实证检验。研究结果发现:中国农村剩余劳动力转移和FDI在空间上是"普遍联系"的,且两个网络在网络通达性、中心区域方面具有很多相似的特征。虽然中国农村剩余劳动力转移和外商直接投资空间关联网络的紧密程度总体上并不高,但其具有稳定性和多重叠加性,分别存在223个和268个空间关联关系。QAP回归结果表明:外商直接投资以及地理位置邻接性对农村剩余劳动力转移的空间关联和空间溢出有显著的正向影响,其具有"近水楼台先得月"的效应。研究结论为客观评估FDI对东道国农村剩余劳动力转移的影响提供了一个来自转型发展中国家的证据,对劳动力市场政策的调整具有重要的政策含义。Based on the perspective of complex network, this paper uses complex social network analysis to test the spatial network association between foreign direct investment and redundant rural labor force. The results show that, the transfer of redundant rural labor force in China and FDI are "universally connected" in space, and the two networks have many similar characteristics in terms of network accessibility and central area. Although the overall level of space association network between redundant rural labor force and foreign direct investment is not high but stability and multiple overlapping of it, respectively has 223 and 268 spatial relations. The QAP regression results show that, FDI and the adjacency of geographic location has a significant positive impact on the spatial correlation and spatial spillover effect of redundant rural labor force, which has effect of "First come, first served." This paper provides an evidence for the transition from developing countries to objectively evaluate the impact of foreign direct investment in the host country for the transfer of redundant rural labor force, also has important policy implications for the future adjustment of China labor market policy.

关 键 词：外商直接投资 空间关联 复杂网络 农村剩余劳动力 

分 类 号：F114.4[经济管理—国际贸易] F304.6[经济管理—世界经济]