兵团区域经济与区域物流发展的关联性分析  

Analysis on the Correlation Between Corps Regional Economy and Regional Logistics Development

作　　者：徐翔燕[1,2] 侯瑞环 XU Xiang-yan;HOU Rui-huan(College of Information Engineering,Tarim University,Alar 843300,Xinjiang,China;Institute of Applied Statistics,Tarim University,Alar 843300,Xinjiang,China)

机构地区：[1]塔里木大学信息工程学院,新疆阿拉尔843300 [2]塔里木大学应用统计研究所,新疆阿拉尔843300

出　　处：《内蒙古师范大学学报（自然科学汉文版）》2020年第1期68-71,77,共5页Journal of Inner Mongolia Normal University(Natural Science Edition)

基　　金：塔里木大学校长基金青年创新资金项目(TDZKQN201615)

摘　　要：在分析新疆生产建设兵团区域经济与区域物流发展相关关系的基础上,构建兵团区域经济与区域物流指标体系,选取2000-2017年度数据,运用灰色关联分析模型对兵团所辖区域的区域经济与区域物流之间的关联性进行实证分析,并考察其发展协调度。研究结果表明:制约兵团区域经济发展的主要物流业影响因素为交通运输仓储与邮政业产值和民用汽车年末保有量,兵团区域经济与区域物流发展具有较高的关联性,但其协调度波动较大,兵团区域经济与区域物流的发展在很长一段时期内处于中度失调,耦合曲线呈二次曲线。On the basis of analyzing the correlation between development of regional economy and that of regional logistics in Xinjiang production and construction corps,we established the index system of regional economy and regional logistics of the corps.To assess the development coordination state between regional economy and regional logistics in the areas under the jurisdiction of the corps,the empirical analysis for the correlation between regional economy and regional logistics was conducted based on the data from 2000 to 2017 by using gray correlation analysis model.The research results showed that the main constraints of logistics industry for the development of regional economy of the corps were the output value of transportation,storage and postal industry and the civil automobiles ownership at the end of the year.The regional economy of the corps was high correlated with the development of regional logistics,but its coordination degree fluctuated greatly.The development of regional economy and regional logistics of the corps had been moderately disordered for a long time and the coupling curve showed a quadratic curve.

关 键 词：区域物流 灰色关联模型 区域经济 协调度 

分 类 号：U11[交通运输工程]