贸易便利化视角下中国水产品出口贸易的空间效应——基于“一带一路”沿线国家的经验证据  

Spatial Effect of China’s Aquatic Products Export Trade from the Perspective of Trade Facilitation

作　　者：许伟 胡冰川[2] XU Wei;HU Bing-chuan(School of Business,Anhui University of Technology,Maanshan 243002;Rural Development Institute,Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,Beijing 100732,China)

机构地区：[1]安徽工业大学商学院,安徽马鞍山243002 [2]中国社会科学院农村发展研究所,北京100732

出　　处：《兰州财经大学学报》2019年第6期85-94,共10页Journal of Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics

基　　金：中国水产科学研究院基本科研业务费专项(2018HY-ZD0801)

摘　　要：基于联合国商品贸易数据库,2010-2017年中国对"一带一路"沿线国家水产品出口贸易数据,采用空间面板计量模型,估计了贸易便利化对中国水产品出口的影响以及中国水产品存在的空间效应。研究结果表明:中国水产品存在显著的空间效应,包括空间互补效应和空间溢出效应;贸易便利水平的提高有利于中国水产品出口贸易,并且贸易伙伴国周边国家的贸易便利化水平具有明显的溢出效应;沿线国家人口数量增加,人均收入水平提高,使得国内水产品消费需求扩大,有助于中国水产品出口,而距离和关税增加会提高贸易成本,进而抑制中国水产品出口。基于此,得到了相应的政策启示。Based on the United Nations commodity trade database and the aquatic product export data of China to countries along the "One Belt And One Road" from 2010 to 2017,this paper uses the spatial panel measurement model to estimate the impact of trade facilitation on China’s aquatic product export and the spatial effect of China’s aquatic product.The result shows that there are significant spatial effects in Chinese aquatic products,including spatial complementary effects and spatial spillover effects.The improvement of trade facilitation is beneficial to China’s export of aquatic products.The level of trade facilitation of neighboring trading partners countries has obvious spillover effects.The increase in the population of countries along the route and the increase in per capita income have led to an expansion of domestic consumption of aquatic products,which will help China’s aquatic products exports.Increasing distance and tariffs would raise the cost of trade,which in turn would curb China’s exports of aquatic products.Based on this,the corresponding policy enlightenment is derived.

关 键 词：贸易便利化 水产品出口 一带一路 空间效应 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易] F323.7[经济管理—产业经济]