中国石油安全保障能力评估及障碍因素分析  

Assessment of China’s Safeguarding Capacity for Oil Security and Analysis of Obstacle Factors

作　　者：祝孔超 ZHU Kong-chao(College of Earth and Environmental Sciences,Lanzhou University,Lanzhou 730000,China)

机构地区：[1]兰州大学资源环境学院

出　　处：《价值工程》2020年第5期96-98,共3页Value Engineering

摘　　要：基于国内石油安全保障视角,从国内石油资源禀赋、生产供应能力、消费需求状况等5个层面选取14个指标,构建了中国国内石油安全保障能力评估指标体系,运用熵值法确定指标权重,对21世纪以来中国石油安全保障水平进行定量评估,引入障碍度模型识别主要障碍因子。结果表明:2000-2016年中国国内石油安全保障水平总体波动上升;储量替代率、清洁可再生能源占能源消费比重、储消比、石油自给率是中国国内石油安全保障水平提升的主要障碍因子。From the perspective of guaranteeing domestic oil security,this paper selected 14 indicators from five aspects to evaluate the guaranteeing capacity of China's domestic oil security,entropy method was used to determine the indicator weight,then obstacle degree model was introduced to identify the major obstacle factors.The results show that:on the whole,China's guaranteeing capacity for domestic oil security presented a rising trend during 2000 to 2016;Reserve replacement ratio,the proportion of clean renewable energy in energy consumption,reserve to consumption ratio,oil self-sufficiency rate are the main obstacle factors for enhancing the level of China's guaranteeing capacity for domestic oil security.

关 键 词：中国 石油安全 熵值法 障碍因素 

分 类 号：F426[经济管理—产业经济] TE48[石油与天然气工程—油气田开发工程]