中国西北干旱区城市水、大气污染排放与FDI关系研究  

Relationship between Water & Air Pollutant Emission and FDI in Arid Cities in Northwest China

作　　者：赵领娣[1,2] 冯剑 孙凌霄 于翔[3] 赵鹏 ZHAO Ling-di;FENG Jian;SUN Ling-xiao;YU Xiang;ZHAO Peng(School of Economics,Ocean University of China,Qingdao 266100,Shandong,China;Key Research Base of Humanities and Social Sciences of the Ministry of Education,Institute of Marine Development,Ocean University of China,Qingdao 266100,Shandong,China;Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Urumqi 830011,Xinjiang,China;University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049,China)

机构地区：[1]中国海洋大学经济学院,山东青岛266100 [2]教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地中国海洋大学海洋发展研究院,山东青岛266100 [3]中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,新疆乌鲁木齐830011 [4]中国科学院大学,北京100049

出　　处：《干旱区研究》2020年第1期67-73,共7页Arid Zone Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71974176,71473233)资助

摘　　要："一带一路"倡议在中国西北干旱半干旱区的实施,是否会带来水、大气的污染转移效应引起广泛关注。匮乏的水资源、脆弱的生态环境决定了其不宜引入污染密集型的外商直接投资(FDI)。有别于以往文献从国家、省级层面或分东、中、西地区对FDI的污染转移效应进行研究,本文使用更能体现干旱半干旱区生态、经济差异的城市级数据,运用灰色关联、双重差分方法,研究"一带一路"倡议下,FDI是否对中国西北干旱半干旱区城市水、大气产生污染转移效应。结果显示,"一带一路"倡议实施以来,西北干旱区城市水、大气污染排放与FDI的关联程度下降;且半干旱区远大于干旱区的FDI增幅,并没有导致城市间显著的水、大气污染排放的差异。It has gained the widespread concerns from experts and scholars whether the implementation of the"Belt and Road"policy will bring pollution transfer,and the fragile ecological environment determines that pollution-intensive foreign direct investment (FDI) should be rejected in arid and semiarid areas in northwest China.Different from the previous studies which paid attention to the pollution transfer effect caused by FDI from the national and provincial level or the eastern,central and western regions of China,in this study,the gray correlation and different-in-different (DID) method were innovatively used to study whether there is a pollution transfer effect of FDI in cities in arid and semiarid areas in northwest China under implementing the"Belt and Road"policy. Moreover,the gray correlation analysis was used to compare the correlation between FDI and pollution in arid and semiarid areas before and after implementing the "Belt and Road"policy. The results revealed that the coefficient of association decreased after implementing the "Belt and Road"policy,so the FDI did not bring the pollution transfer effect on cities in arid and semiarid regions in northwest China. After implementing the policy,the FDI in the semiarid areas increased by 107. 41% in average,but only by 3. 41% in the arid areas. Moreover,the DID method was used to further explore whether there was a significant difference of pollutant emission between these two kinds of regions. It was found that there was no significant difference in pollutant emission between the arid and semiarid urban areas before and after implementing the policy. Therefore,we further verified that FDI did not bring about pollutant transfer effect under implementing the "Belt and Road"policy. In addition to the effect of the policy,pollutant emission from the arid and semiarid regions is also related to many other socio-economic factors. The population growth and the development of economy and transportation aggravate the urban pollutant emission;the development of tertiary

关 键 词：城市 水污染 大气污染 外商直接投资(FDI) 污染转移效应 “一带一路”倡议 干旱半干旱区 

分 类 号：F832.6[经济管理—金融学] X321[环境科学与工程—环境工程]