PPP项目控制权初始分配决策研究  

Initial Allocation Decision Making of PPP Project Control Rights

作　　者：张云华 ZHANG Yun-hua(Faculty of Civil Engineering and Mechanics,Kunming University of Science and Technology,Kunming 650500)

机构地区：[1]昆明理工大学建筑工程学院

出　　处：《软科学》2020年第2期44-49,共6页Soft Science

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究项目(19C10674019);昆明理工大学引进人才科研启动基金项目(KKSY201806020)

摘　　要：结合我国PPP项目实践案例和初始控制权分配类型,综合考虑宏观区域发展特征、中观市场环境特征和微观PPP项目特征3个维度共计27个决策变量,运用大数据分析方法将PPP项目控制权初始分配问题转化为类型匹配问题,进而建立影响因素与分配类型之间的匹配关系。研究结果表明:基础设施及服务供给水平、区域市场开放程度2个子维度的影响因素对控制权初始分配决策具有显著影响,且其贡献度普遍高于PPP项目特征维度的影响因素。研究成果进一步验证了激励性规制理论在公共项目供给管理领域的解释力,同时佐证了我国PPP实践处于政府主导而非充分市场化的推行阶段。In order to explore the inherent law of the initial allocation of PPP project control rights in China,combined with the practical cases of PPP projects and the types of initial allocation of control rights in China,27 decision variables are considered in three dimensions:macro-regional development characteristics,meso-market environment characteristics and micro-PPP project characteristics.The problem of initial allocation of PPP project control rights is transformed into a type matching problem by using large data analysis method.Then,the matching relationship between influencing factors and distribution types is established.Results show that,infrastructure and service supply level,regional market openness have significant impact on the initial allocation decision-making of control rights,and their contribution is generally higher than that of PPP project characteristic dimension.Research results further validate the explanatory power of Incentive Regulation Theoryin the field of public project supply management,and also proves that PPP practice in China is in the stage of government-oriented rather than full market-oriented.

关 键 词：PPP项目 初始控制权 随机森林 激励性规制理论 

分 类 号：C939[经济管理—管理学] F062.4