中国城市住房价格增长的空间差异及其影响机制  

Spatial Differentiation of Housing Price Growth in China and Its Impact Mechanism

作　　者：黄禹铭[1] HUANG Yuming(Party School of Changchun Municipal Party Committee of the CPC,Changchun 130103,Jilin,China)

机构地区：[1]中共长春市委党校

出　　处：《经济地理》2019年第12期88-95,共8页Economic Geography

基　　金：全国地方党校(行政学院)重点调研课题(2019dfdxkt172);吉林省哲学社会科学规划基金项目(2018B51)

摘　　要：以2015—2018年中国298个城市的住房价格为基础,考察中国城市房价增长的空间格局、城市等级特征及其驱动机制。结果表明:①2015—2018年中国城市住房价格增长的空间差异较大,而且增长幅度随城市等级的提高而提高。②住房价格增长存在较强的空间自相关性;经济增长、投资规模、市场预期、支付能力、土地供给、城市吸引力是影响城市房价增长空间差异的主要因素,其中经济增长是2015—2018年房价增长差异的主导因素。此外,城市等级不同,住房价格增长的影响因素体现出显著的差异。③最后,从促进协调区域发展,打压炒房行为;加快城市更新升级,打造优质城市环境等方面提出了促进房地产市场健康发展的建议。As a monetary expression to measure the value of a house,house price has always been a hot topic in academic research.Based on the housing prices of 298 cities in China from 2015 to 2018,this paper examines the spatial pattern of urban housing price growth,urban grade characteristics and its driving mechanism.The results show that:1)The spatial difference of housing price growth in China's cities from 2015 to 2018 is quite different,and the growth rate increases with the increase of urban level.2)There is a strong spatial autocorrelation in housing price growth;economic growth,investment scale,market expectation,ability to pay,land supply,and urban charm are the main factors affecting the spatial difference in urban housing price growth.Urban charm is the dominant factor in the difference in housing price growth between 2015 and 2018.In addition,the city level is different,and the factors affecting the growth of housing prices reflect significant differences.3)Finally,from the promotion of coordinated regional development,suppression of real estate speculation;speeding up urban renewal and upgrading,creating a quality urban environment,and other proposals to promote the healthy development of the real estate market.

关 键 词：房价上涨 人口流动 土地供给 房屋限购 供给侧结构性改革 城市等级 健康发展 

分 类 号：F293.30[经济管理—国民经济]