基尼系数在全球反恐态势分析中的应用  

Application of Gini Coefficient in Analyzing Global Anti-terrorism Situation

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作  者:陈梦宇 田德生[1] CHEN Mengyu;TIAN Desheng(School of Sciences,Hubei Univ.of Tech.,Wuhan 430068,China)

机构地区:[1]湖北工业大学理学院,湖北武汉430068

出  处:《湖北工业大学学报》2020年第1期118-120,共3页Journal of Hubei University of Technology

摘  要:为提高全球反恐斗争的针对性和效率,将基尼系数和Lorenz曲线应用于全球反恐态势的研究。首先近三年恐怖袭击进行整体聚集性分析结果表明,基尼系数最大的是国家因素,即在国家层面存在聚集性;进一步从国家角度研究武器、袭击目标、袭击方式这三个因素的基尼系数,得出各自对应的热点国家。这三类因素中,基尼系数最大的依次为爆炸物/炸弹/炸药、公民自身和私有财产、轰炸/爆炸,表明这些类型的恐怖袭击事件聚集性比较强,也就是说,多数恐怖袭击发生在少数国家,这些热点国家需制定针对性的反恐战略。In order to improve the pertinence and efficiency of global anti-terrorism struggle,Gini coefficient and Lorenz curve are applied to the study of global anti-terrorism situation.Firstly,the overall aggregation analysis of terrorist attacks in the past three years shows that the largest Gini coefficient is the national factor.That is,aggregation exists at the national level.Therefore,the Gini coefficients of weapons,targets and modes of attack are further studied from the national perspective,and the corresponding hot countries are obtained.The Gini coefficient of these three factors is explosive/bomb/explosive,police,bombing/explosion respectively,which indicates that the aggregation of these types of terrorist attacks is relatively strong.This shows that these types of terrorist attacks occur in a small number of countries,which need to formulate targeted counter-terrorism strategies.

关 键 词:恐怖袭击 基尼系数 LORENZ曲线 聚集性 

分 类 号:D815.5[政治法律—国际关系]

 

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