产业结构、城市化与城乡收入差距——基于江苏13市的Panel面板数据的实证研究  

Industrial Structure,Urbanization and Urban-Rural Income Gap——An Empirical Study based on the Panel Data of 13 Cities in Jiangsu Province

作　　者：吴波虹[1,2] WU Bo-hong(Jiangsu Vocational College of Finance&Economics,Huai′an Jiangsu 223003,China;School of public administration,China University of Mining and Technology,Xuzhou,Jiangsu 221116,China)

机构地区：[1]江苏财经职业技术学院,江苏淮安223003 [2]中国矿业大学公共管理学院,江苏徐州221116

出　　处：《技术经济与管理研究》2020年第4期123-128,共6页Journal of Technical Economics & Management

基　　金：2019年淮安市政策引导类计划(软科学研究)(HAR201904)。

摘　　要：在中国经济快速发展的背景下,江苏省城镇化进程中城乡绝对收入差距也在不断扩大。本文针对产业结构、城市化对城乡收入差距绝对值和比率的影响,采用江苏省13市区2009-2017年间的面板数据进行了实证研究。结论显示:城镇化率和产业结构对江苏城乡人均收入差距的绝对值和比率呈现出了不同的规律。首先,城市化率和城乡收入差距的绝对值呈线性正相关,并形成双向因果关系;城市化率与城乡收入差距的比率构成线性负相关,并具有单向因果关系。其次,城乡收入的绝对差距与江苏第二和第三产业结构呈现线性正相关,并构成单向格兰杰原因,表明城乡收入的绝对差造成产业结构的变化。第三,第三产业结构与城乡收入差距比例呈现线性负相关,并形成单向格兰杰因果关系。而人均GDP的发展与城乡收入差距不存在因果关系,表明经济的发达与否,与城乡收入差距无关。最后,提出缩小江苏省城乡收入差距的政策建议。Under the background of rapid development of China’s economic,the absolute income gap between urban and rural areas in Jiangsu Province has been widening in the process of urbanization.In this paper,the panel data from 2009 to 2017 is collected from 13 cities in Jiangsu Province,and used in analyses of the impacts of urbanization and industrial structure on the urban-rural income gap,absolute gap value and their ratio.The results revealed that the urbanization rate and industrial structure had different influences on the income gap between urban and rural areas in Jiangsu Province.First,the urbanization rate had a linear positive correlation with the absolute value of urban-rural income gap,and a two-way cause-effect relationship is detected between them;a linear negative correlation is found between the urbanization rate and the ratio of urban to rural incomes,and it is a one-way cause-effect relationship.Second,the absolute income gap between urban and rural areas had a linear positive correlation with the weights of the second and third industries in Jiangsu and acted as a one-way Granger cause,suggesting that the increase of income gap could change the industrial structure.Third,the weight of the third industrial had a linear negative correlation with the urban-rural income ratio,and acted as a oneway Granger cause.However,there was no cause-effect relationship between per capita GDP and urban-rural income gap,indicating that the economic development had nothing to do with urban-rural income gap.Finally,some policy suggestions are proposed to narrow urban-rural income gap in Jiangsu Province.

关 键 词：产业结构 城镇化 城乡收入 

分 类 号：F062.9[经济管理—政治经济学]