基于引力模型的沈阳市物流产业园区建设研究  

Research on the Construction of Shenyang Logistics Industrial Park Based on Gravity Model

作　　者：王秋菲[1] 史金艺 WANG Qiufei;SHI Jinyi(School of Management,Shenyang Jianzhu University,Shenyang 110168,China)

机构地区：[1]沈阳建筑大学管理学院,辽宁沈阳110168

出　　处：《沈阳建筑大学学报（社会科学版）》2019年第6期604-609,共6页Journal of Shenyang Jianzhu University:Social Science

基　　金：辽宁省自然科学基金项目(Z2117039)。

摘　　要：从沈阳市物流需求量的预测入手,研究了沈阳市物流产业园区建设问题。借用引力模型的理论基础,构建了区域物流引力模型,并充分利用沈阳市主导产业各项数据,对辽宁省沈阳市静态物流需求量进行了预测。同时,根据赖利定律,计算出沈阳市与其他临近城市的断裂点,并根据断裂点分析了沈阳市与周边城市的吸引关系。基于此,运用引力模型预测了沈阳市动态物流生成量,从而发现物流需求的发展规律,旨在为沈阳市物流业的科学预测及合理规划提供借鉴,推动沈阳市物流产业园区建设。This paper studies the construction of Shenyang logistics industry park,starting from the forecast of logistics demand in Shenyang.Based on the theoretical basis of the gravity model,the regional logistics gravity model is constructed,and the data of leading industries in Shenyang are fully utilized to predict the static logistics demand in Shenyang City of Liaoning Province.At the same time,according to Riley's law,the breakpoints of Shenyang City and other neighboring cities are calculated,and the attraction relationship between Shenyang City and surrounding cities is analyzed according to the breakpoint.On this basis,the gravity model is used to predict the amount of dynamic logistics in Shenyang,and the development law of logistics demand can also be found.It aims to provide reference for the scientific forecasting and rational planning of Shenyang logistics industry and promote the construction of Shenyang logistics industry park.

关 键 词：引力模型 物流需求预测 赖利定律 物流产业园区 

分 类 号：TU984.13[建筑科学—城市规划与设计]