上海市与宁波市环境质量与经济增长的比较研究——基于环境库兹涅茨曲线假说视角  

Comparative Study on Environmental Quality and Economic Growth Between Ningbo and Shanghai——Based on Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis

作　　者：李南[1] 周晖杰[1,2] 毛小燕[2] 敖丽红[2] Li Nan;Zhou Huijie;Mao Xiaoyan;Ao Lihong(College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 211106, China;College of Science and Technology, Ningbo University, Ningbo 315212, China)

机构地区：[1]南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院,江苏南京211106 [2]宁波大学科学技术学院,浙江宁波315212

出　　处：《环境科学与管理》2020年第1期1-6,共6页Environmental Science and Management

基　　金：浙江省基础公益研究计划项目(犹豫模糊粗糙集的代数分析及其在多属性决策中的应用,Y20A010039);2020年度宁波市社会科学研究基地(宁波市湾区经济研究基地)。

摘　　要：利用环境库兹涅茨计量分析方法,探索上海市和宁波市环境质量变化与经济增长之间的环境库兹涅茨曲线特征,评价和比较两市工业化进程发展轨迹,以期借鉴上海市促进宁波市发展。结果发现两市关于工业废气、工业SO2、工业废水、工业固废物、PM10的排放量与人均GDP之间表现出不同的曲线特性或转折状态,产业结构和外商直接投资对环境质量变化起到重要作用,工业固废物排放量与人均GDP呈倒“U”型关系,这不同于以往学者的一些研究结果。Econometric analysis method is used to explore the Environmental Kuznets Curve characteristics between environmental quality and economic growth in Shanghai and Ningbo,so as to evaluate and compare the development trajectories of industrialization process in Shanghai and Ningbo,with a view to promoting Ningbo's development by referring to Shanghai.The results show that the emissions of industrial waste gas,industrial SO2,industrial waste water,industrial solid waste,PM10 in Shanghai and Ningbo show different curve characteristics and transition states with respect to per capita GDP,and industrial structure and FID play a key role in environmental quality change.The emissions of industrial solid waste show an inverted U-shaped relationship with per capita GDP,which is different from some previous research results of scholars.

关 键 词：环境库兹涅茨曲线 环境质量 经济增长 倒“U”型 回归分析 

分 类 号：X22[环境科学与工程—环境科学]