农地制度、土地依附效应与半城镇化问题研究——基于人口农村退出视角  

Research on Farmland Institution,Land Attachment Effect and Semi-urbanization:Based on the Perspective of Rural Population Withdrawal

作　　者：朱要龙 刘培培 王树[3] ZHU Yaolong;LIU Peipei;WANG Shu(School of Ethnology and Sociology, Yunnan University, Kunming 650091, China;School of Business Administration, Northeast University, Shenyang 110004, China;School of Development Studies, Yunnan University,Kunming 650091, China)

机构地区：[1]云南大学民族学与社会学学院,云南昆明650091 [2]东北大学工商管理学院,辽宁沈阳110004 [3]云南大学发展研究院,云南昆明650091

出　　处：《人口与经济》2020年第2期47-62,共16页Population & Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目“欠发达地区新型城镇化与乡村振兴协同共进路径研究”(19AJY008)。

摘　　要：研究的学术逻辑在于突破“城市融入”的惯常认识,从“农村退出”视角,探讨农地制度与半城镇化的关系,并试图破解劳动力意义上的“人地分离”与保障意义上的“人地依附”这一矛盾。中国的城镇化过程可以分解为农业退出、城市进入、农村退出三个阶段。本文重新修正了托达罗模型,并构建了人口农村退出模型。基于调查数据,本文通过构建logit、截面门槛、双Probit模型,证实农地制度引致农村人口对土地具有依附效应,土地禀赋对农村人口的退出决策具有显著抑制效应。The academic logic of this paper discusses the relationship between farmland system and semi-urbanization from the perspective of“rural withdrawal”by breaking through the conventional recognition of“urban integration”.This paper also seeks to resolve the contradiction between“separation of human and land”in the sense of labor force and“dependence relations of human and land”in the sense of insurance.Based on the perspective of rural land system and function evolution,this paper re-deconstructs the process of urbanization in China,which can be mainly described as agricultural withdrawal,urban entry and rural withdrawal.This paper revises the Todaro model and constructs the model of rural population withdrawal to seek for the mechanism of semi-urbanization.With the construction of logit,sectional threshold and dual-Probit model,this paper proves that it is the farmland system that causes the rural population’s dependence on land and rural population’s decision to withdraw is influenced by land endowment.

关 键 词：农地制度 托达罗模型修正 土地依附效应 人口农村退出 

分 类 号：F291.1[经济管理—国民经济]