走向高收入国家:前景与条件  

Prospects and Conditions for China to Become a High-Income Country

作　　者：郑志国[1] ZHENG Zhi-guo

机构地区：[1]广东省委党校中国特色社会主义研究所

出　　处：《华南师范大学学报（社会科学版）》2020年第2期81-90,190,191,共12页Journal of South China Normal University：Social Science Edition

摘　　要：中国从中等收入国家到高收入国家的跃升前景是光明的,同时受到多种条件的约束。中国人均国民总收入赶超高收入国家需要两方面的基本条件:一是未来国民总收入年均增速长期高于高收入国家;二是总人口适度缩减或保持现有规模。今后要更好地以国内人民追求美好生活的需要为导向来发展经济,切实转变资源利用方式,大力发展科教文卫事业,组织力量开展生产智能化和生态化关键技术攻关,力争在基础研究和前沿技术研发方面总体上走在世界前列。只有当中国成为科技强国和人才强国时,才能最终建成高收入国家。The prospects for China’s leap from middle-income countries to high-income ones are bright and constrained by a variety of conditions. Two basic conditions are required for the per capita GNI of China to catch up with that of high-income countries.First,the average annual growth rate of China’s GNI keeps being higher than that of high-income countries in a long period of time.Second,the total population is moderately reduced or at least maintained at its current size. In the future,we need to take the domestic people’s pursuit of a better life as a guide to develop the economy and effectively change the way of resources utilization. We must vigorously develop science,education,culture and health,organize forces to develop key intelligent and ecological technologies,and strive to lead the world in basic cutting-edge research and development. Only when China becomes a technology and talent power will it eventually become a high-income country.

关 键 词：人均收入 总人口 资源 高收入国家 人才强国 科技强国 

分 类 号：F124.7[经济管理—世界经济]