基于耦合分析的“经济-人口-火灾”系统研究  

Study on economic-population-fire systems based on coupling analysis

作　　者：孙鹏哲[1] 庞集华 马生昀[1] 闫祖威[1] SUN Peng-zhe;PANG Ji-hua;MA Sheng-yun;YAN Zu-wei(College of Science,Inner Mongolia Agricultural University,Inner Mongolia Hohhot 010018,China;Inner Mongolia General Fire and Rescue Brigade,Inner Mongolia Hohhot 010070,China)

机构地区：[1]内蒙古农业大学理学院,内蒙古呼和浩特010018 [2]内蒙古自治区消防救援总队,内蒙古呼和浩特010070

出　　处：《消防科学与技术》2020年第2期275-277,共3页Fire Science and Technology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71661027);内蒙古农业大学教学改革项目示范课程(120012)。

摘　　要：以《中国统计年鉴》和《中国消防年鉴》2002-2016年我国经济、人口、火灾的相关数据为依据,采用熵值赋权法计算我国经济-人口-火灾系统的权重及综合得分。构建耦合协调度分析模型,研究经济-人口-火灾系统之间是否协调发展。耦合协调度的实证分析表明:我国经济-人口-火灾系统基本上在轻度失调衰退类和中度失调衰退类之间发展,耦合协调度总体上虽然有上升的趋势,但一直处于失调状态。根据分析结果提出了相关建议。Based on the relevant data of China’s economy, population and fire in China Statistical Yearbook and China Fire Yearbook from 2002 to 2016, the entropy weighting method was used to calculate the weights and comprehensive scores of China’s economy-population-fire system. A model for coupling degree of coordination analysis was constructed to analyze if the economic population fire system is developing coordinately. The empirical analysis of the degree of coupling coordination shows that: China’s economy population fire system is basically stable between mild deregulation and moderate declination, and the overall degree of coupling coordination has been increasing, but it has been in misaligned status. The relevant suggestions were proposed.

关 键 词：经济-人口-火灾系统 综合评价 耦合协调度 

分 类 号：X921[环境科学与工程—安全科学] TU998.1[建筑科学—市政工程]