中央与地方政府PM2.5治理策略分析  

PM2.5 Governance Strategy Analysis of Central and Local govern ment perspectives

作　　者：周珍[1,2] 邢瑶瑶 林云[1] 于晓辉[3] 谭志斌[1] 王洁 ZHOU Zhen;XING Yao-yao;LIN Yun;YU Xiao-hui;TAN Zhi-bin;WANG Jie(School of Management,Capital Normal University,Beijing 100089,China;Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research,Beijing Institute of Technology,Beijing 100081,China;Beijing Wuzi University,Beijing 101149,China)

机构地区：[1]首都师范大学管理学院,北京100089 [2]北京理工大学能源与环境政策研究中心,100081 [3]北京物资学院,北京101149

出　　处：《运筹与管理》2020年第1期32-37,56,共7页Operations Research and Management Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71874112,71801016,71871002);国家自然科学基金重点项目(71532002);研究阐释当的十九大国家社科基金专项课题(18VSJ066);北京市教委社科计划面上项目(0142132014);北京市大学生实培计划项目;首都师范大学科技创新服务能力建设项目。

摘　　要：本文以京津冀雾霾治理为例,综合考虑了PM2.5在地区间的非对称性跨界传输影响、PM2.5治理对民众、企业、政府带来的协同效应.从中央与地方政府视角对比分析了减排指标约束下利益各方的PM2.5治理策略偏好.研究表明:由于跨界传输因子的影响,合作与非合作时污染物的去除量不一定相等.当各地合作与非合作污染物去除量相等时,合作与非合作成本无差异;否则,合作成本优于非合作,而合作成本的降低源于总体减排量减少.如果跨界传输因子增大或减小,合作与非合作治理的成本差距相应地会增加或减小,各地方政府合作治理意愿会逐渐增大或减小;而中央政府可能更希望地方政府在完成减排指标时能尽可能多减排,因此倾向于地方政府采取非合作治理.减排指标设置时应考虑合作与非合作时收益差异,以及各地经济发展水平等因素的影响.This paper analyzes the preference of PM2.5 governance strategies from the perspective of central and local governments by comprehensively considering the impact of PM2.5 on asymmetric cross-border transmission between regions,and the synergistic effect of PM2.5 governance on people,businesses,and governments.The results show that:the removal of cooperation and non-cooperation is not the same all the time due to the influence of transboundary transmission factors.There is no difference between the cost of cooperation and non-cooperation when the amount of cooperation and non-cooperation between regions is the same;otherwise,the cost of coopera-tion is lower than that of non-cooperation.With the reduction(increase)of cross-border transmission factors between regions,the cost gap between cooperative and non-cooperative governance is reduced(increased),and governments at all levels are more inclined to non-cooperative governance(the central government may wish to cooperate).The emission reduction target setting should consider the difference in returns between cooperation and non-cooperation,as well as the impact of factors such as the level of economic development.

关 键 词：PM2.5治理 合作博弈 跨界传输因子 SHAPLEY值 

分 类 号：X321[环境科学与工程—环境工程]