面向多部门多属性的群决策应急方案调整方法  

Group Emergency Alternative Adaptation Method Oriented Characteristic of Multi-department and Multi-attribute

作　　者：郑晶[1,2] 王应明[2] ZHENG Jing;WANG Ying-ming(College of Electronics and Information Science,Fujian Jiangxia University,Fuzhou 350108,China;Decision Sciences Institute,Fuzhou University,Fuzhou 350116,China)

机构地区：[1]福建江夏学院电子信息科学学院,福建福州350108 [2]福州大学决策科学研究所,福建福州350116

出　　处：《运筹与管理》2020年第2期66-72,共7页Operations Research and Management Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(61773123);福建省自然科学基金项目(2017J01513)。

摘　　要：针对具有多部门多属性的基于案例推理的应急方案生成问题,提出了一种新的群决策应急方案调整方法.首先,各部门根据关注的属性生成案例库,并应用检索方法得到最相似历史案例,再运用置信规则库进行应急方案调整来生成各部门应急方案;然后,各部门对每个部门生成的应急方案进行评价;在此基础上,根据各部门的评价信息确定权重,进而对各部门生成的应急方案进行集结得到目标案例的应急方案.最后,通过一个算例验证了所提出方法的可行性和有效性.In order to solve the problem of the emergency alternative generation based on case-based reasoning with the characteristic of multi-department and multi-attribute,a new emergency alternative adaptation method based on group decision making is proposed.Firstly,each department generates a case base according to the concerned attributes,and the most similar historical case is obtained according to the retrieval method.The emergency alternative for each department is generated through the emergency alternative adaptation using the belief rule-base.Next,each department evaluates the emergency alternatives.Furthermore,the department weights are determined according to the evaluation information,and the final emergency alternative is generated by integrating the emergency alternatives of the participating departments.Finally,an illustrative example is provided to demonstrate the feasibility and validity of the proposed method.

关 键 词：群决策 案例推理 方案调整 置信规则库 

分 类 号：C931[经济管理—管理学]