福建省新型冠状病毒肺炎流行特征与网络关注点初步分析  

Epidemic characteristics and internet focus of coronavirus disease 2019 in Fujian Province:a preliminary analysis

作　　者：张君涵 袁宗祥[1,2] 黄颉刚[1,2] 梁冰玉[1,2,3,4] 刘洁 廖艳研 韦吴迪 潘沛江 梁浩 叶力[1,2,3,4] ZHANG Jun-han;YUAN Zong-xiang;HUANG Jie-gang;LIANG Bing-yu;LIU Jie;LIAO Yan-yan;WEI Wu-di;PAN Pei-jiang;LIANG Hao;YE Li(Guangxi Key Laboratory of AIDS Prevention and Treatment;School of Public Health;Life Science Institute;Guangxi Collaborative Innovation Center for Biomedicine,Guangxi Medical University,Nanning 530021,China)

机构地区：[1]广西医科大学广西艾滋病防治研究重点实验室 [2]广西医科大学公共卫生学院 [3]广西医科大学生命科学研究院 [4]广西生物医药协同创新中心,南宁市530021

出　　处：《广西医学》2020年第3期325-330,共6页Guangxi Medical Journal

基　　金：十三五国家科技重大专项(2018ZX10101002-001-006)。

摘　　要：目的分析福建省新型冠状病毒肺炎(COVID-19)疫情的流行特征及疫情期间群众的网络关注点。方法收集2020年2月14日前福建省卫生健康委员会公布的疫情数据,分析该省疫情时空分布情况,百度迁徙(迁入)规模指数与其日发病率的相关性,以及疫情期间群众的网络关注点。结果截至2020年2月14日,福建省COVID-19累计确诊病例数为285例,累计发病率为0.72/10万,累计治愈出院人数为66例;福建省累计确诊病例主要集中在福州市66例(23.16%)、莆田市55例(19.30%)、泉州市46例(16.14%);各地市日新增病例数和疑似病例数整体呈下降趋势;福建省COVID-19日新发病率与3 d前迁徙(迁入)规模指数无相关性(P>0.05);疫情期间福建省与疫情发展和个体防护相关的百度搜索指数显著升高,分别以“福建冠状病毒肺炎”和“口罩”两个词条的指数最高。结论截至2020年2月14日,福建省疫情发展速度开始放缓,防控措施有效,但部分城市发病率仍然较高,群众对疫情的关注度仍居高不下。需强化省内疫情监测与管控,通过网络及时公布疫情相关信息和百姓关注的个人防护信息。Objective To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)epidemic and the internet focus of the public during the outbreak in Fujian Province.Methods The epidemic data released by the Fujian Provincial Health Commission before February 14,2020 were collected to analyze the spatiotemporal distribution of the outbreak in the province,the correlation between migration scale index and daily morbidity obtained from Baidu website,and the internet focus of the public during the outbreak.Results Up to February 14,2020,a total of 285 confirmed cases of COVID-19 were reported in Fujian Province,the cumulative morbidity rate was 0.72/100000,and totally 66 patients infected with COVID-19 had been discharged from hospital afteRrecovery;the total confirmed cases in Fujian Province mainly came from Fuzhou City[66(23.16%)cases],Putian City[55(19.30%)cases]and Quanzhou City[46(16.14%)cases].The daily numbeRof new confirmed cases and new suspected cases overall exhibited a positive downward trend in all cities.The daily morbidity rate of new COVID-19 did not correlate with the migration scale index before three days in Fujian Province(P>0.05).During the outbreak,Baidu entry search index concerning epidemic development and individual protection in Fujian Province increased significantly,dominated by the two entries,“Fujian coronavirus pneumonia”and“mask”.Conclusion By the end of February 14,2020,in Fujian Province the spread of the epidemic has begun to slow down as prevention and control measures are effective,however,several cities still report a higheRmorbidity rate of the disease,and people still pay more attention to the epidemic.It is necessary to intensify epidemic surveillance and control in the province,release epidemic-related information and individual protection knowledge publicity in which people are interested online promptly.

关 键 词：新型冠状病毒肺炎 流行特征 疫情 人口流动 时空分布 百度搜索指数 福建 

分 类 号：R18[医药卫生—流行病学]