基于系统GMM的区域物流发展影响因素研究  

Research on the influencing factors of regional logistics development based on system GMM

作　　者：于兆宇[1,3] 张永红 季文倩[3] YU Zhao-yu;ZHANG Yong-hong;JI Wen-qian(School of Railway Transportation,Jilin Vocational and Technical College,Jilin,Jilin 132001,China;Jiangxi Institute of Mechatronic Technology,Nanchang,330013,China;School of Transportation and Logistics,East China Jiaotong University,Nanchang,330013,China)

机构地区：[1]吉林铁道职业技术学院铁道运输学院,吉林吉林132001 [2]江西机电职业技术学院,南昌330013 [3]华东交通大学交通运输与物流学院,南昌330013

出　　处：《闽西职业技术学院学报》2020年第1期36-41,共6页Journal of Minxi Vocational and Technical College

基　　金：江西省社会科学地方规划项目(课题编号:17DQ42);江西省教育厅科技项目(课题编号:GJJ170387);吉林铁道职业技术学院教科研提升工程支撑项目。

摘　　要：基于全国31个省(市、自治区)2007—2016年的省级面板数据,采用系统GMM方法对区域物流发展的影响因素进行实证分析。研究结果表明,物流业增加值与物流行业单位数、就业人数存在负相关关系;物流行业固定资产投资、区域人均GDP、产业结构有助于物流业增加值的增长;物流业FDI、区域城镇化率与物流业增长值存在正相关关系,但是回归系数不显著。加大物流行业投资、发展区域经济、调整产业结构,有助于实现物流上下行双向互动,为区域物流提供内生动力。Based on the provincial panel data of China from 2007 to 2016,the system GMM method was presented to analyze the influencing factors of regional logistics development.The result shows that there is a negative correlation between the added value of logistics industry and the number of units also with the employees in logistics industry;investment in fixed assets in logistics industry,regional per-capital GDP and industrial structure contribute to the growth of added value of logistics industry;there is a positive correlation between FDI of logistics industry,regional urbanization rate and the growth value of logistics industry while regression coefficient is not significant.Finally,some policy suggestions are put forward in terms of increasing investment in logistics industry,developing regional economy and adjusting industrial structure,so as to provide reference for the sustainable development of regional logistics industry.

关 键 词：区域物流 动态面板数据 系统GMM 

分 类 号：F259.2[经济管理—国民经济]