产业结构变迁、城市化进程与碳排放——基于STIRPAT模型  

Study on Industrial Structure Change,Urbanization Process and Carbon Emission Based on STIRPAT Model

作　　者：戴德颐[1] DAI De-yi(School of Trade and Logistics,Jiangsu Institute of Commerce,Nanjing 211168,Jiangsu,China)

机构地区：[1]江苏经贸职业技术学院贸易与物流学院,江苏南京211168

出　　处：《江苏经贸职业技术学院学报》2020年第1期1-6,共6页Journal of Jiangsu Institute of Commerce

基　　金：江苏省高校哲学社会科学优秀创新团队建设项目(2017ZSTD028);江苏省高职院校青年教师企业实践培训项目(2019QYSJ067)。

摘　　要：基于STIRPAT模型,运用面板回归方法,定量分析东部10省市的产业结构、城市化水平与二氧化碳排放之间的关系。结果表明:不同行业对二氧化碳排放的影响差异显著,其中石油石化类行业对二氧化碳排放的促进作用最明显,而金融业对二氧化碳排放略有降低作用;城市化率提高会促进二氧化碳排放。为尽快形成低能耗、低污染的绿色发展模式,地方政府需要发挥产业政策的引导作用,推广节能减排技术,控制二氧化碳排放量。Based on STIRPAT model and panel regression method,this paper quantitatively analyzed the relationship between industrial structure,urbanization level and carbon dioxide emissions in 10 eastern provinces(cities).The results show that there are significant differences in the impact of different industries on carbon dioxide emissions.Among them,petroleum and petrochemical industries play the most significant role in promoting carbon dioxide emissions,while the financial industry has a slight role in reducing carbon dioxide emissions;the increase of urbanization rate will promote the level of carbon dioxide emissions.Regional development needs to control carbon dioxide emissions through industrial policy,as well as energy saving and emission reduction technology.

关 键 词：产业结构 城市化 碳排放 STIRPAT模型 面板回归 

分 类 号：F205[经济管理—国民经济]