环境规制政策对京津冀地区煤炭消费量的影响  

Effect of environmental regulation policy on coal consumption in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region

作　　者：张倩倩[1] 丁日佳[1] ZHANG Qian-qian;Ding Ri-jia(School of Management,China University of Mining and Technology(Beijing),Beijing 100083,China)

机构地区：[1]中国矿业大学(北京)管理学院,北京100083

出　　处：《煤炭工程》2020年第2期156-160,共5页Coal Engineering

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71303235);中国矿业大学(北京)“越崎学者”项目(800015Z1147)。

摘　　要：以《大气污染防治行动计划》(以下简称环境规制政策)的发布作为一次准自然实验,基于合成控制法,构造了与京津冀地区特征相似的合成控制组作为京津冀的"反事实"替身,研究了实施环境规制政策对煤炭消费量的影响,并构建双重差分模型对政策的作用机制进行检验。结果表明:环境规制政策的实施显著降低了京津冀地区的煤炭消费量,且该结果具有稳健性;环境规制政策通过优化产业结构、提高科技水平和能源效率促进地区煤炭消费量下降。Taking the publication of the action plan for the prevention and control of air pollution(hereafter referred to as environmental control policy)as a quasi-natural experiment,we build a synthetic control group with similar characteristics to the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region as the counterfactual surrogate to study the influence on coal consumption and test the mechanism based on the difference-in-differences model.Results shows that,the environmental regulation policy has significantly reduced coal consumption in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region and the result is robust.Besides,the environmental control policy promotes the decline of regional coal consumption by optimizing industrial structure,improving scientific and technological level and energy efficiency.

关 键 词：合成控制法 京津冀地区 环境规制政策 煤炭消费量 

分 类 号：TD-05[矿业工程] F062.1[经济管理—政治经济学]