经济增长与工业环境污染关系的环境库兹涅茨曲线检验——基于长江经济带省域的面板计量模型  

Environmental Kuznets Curve Test of Relationship between Economic Growth and Industrial EnvironmentalPollution:Based on the Yangtze River Economic Belt Provincial Panel Measurement Model

作　　者：周正柱 刘庆波 王云云 ZHOU Zhengzhu;LIU Qingbo;WANG Yunyun

机构地区：[1]上海应用技术大学经济与管理学院,上海201418

出　　处：《南京工业大学学报（社会科学版）》2020年第2期64-72,112,共10页Journal of Nanjing Tech University：Social Science Edition

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“长江经济带城镇化与生态环境耦合协调评价及其发展机制创新研究”(16BSH033)。

摘　　要：采用长江经济带省域11个省市2004—2017年数据,运用面板计量模型,同时考虑城镇化、产业结构等控制变量因素,检验人均工业“三废”与人均GDP的环境库兹涅茨曲线。结果表明:首先,长江经济带区域人均工业废气排放量与人均GDP呈倒“U”型曲线关系,其中上海、江苏和浙江的人均GDP都已超过转折点。其次,人均工业固体废弃物产生量、人均工业废水排放量与人均GDP呈“N”型曲线关系,其中上海、江苏和浙江的人均GDP都已超过或接近第二转折点。最后,增加控制变量并不影响曲线形态,只是提高或降低人均GDP转折点;经济增长与工业环境污染的关系在长江经济带不同区域省市存在显著差异。研究结果不仅扩展了环境库兹涅茨曲线检验对象,也丰富了环境库兹涅茨曲线形成的理论解释,主要结论对长江经济带各省市政府在协调经济增长与环境治理关系时具有一定的实践和理论指导意义。The paper uses data from the provinces of the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2004 to 2017,and uses panel metering models to examine the environmental Kuznets curves of per capita industrial"three wastes"and per capita GDP,while taking into account control variables such as urbanization and industrial structure.The results of the study show that:first,There is an inverted"U"curve relationship between per capita industrial waste gas emissions in the Yangtze River Economic Belt and per capita GDP.Among them,the per capita GDP of Shanghai,Jiangsu and Zhejiang has exceeded the turning point.Second,Per capita industrial solid waste production,per capita industrial wastewater discharge,and per capita GDP are in an"N"curve relationship.Among them,the per capita GDP of Shanghai,Jiangsu,and Zhejiang has exceeded or approached the second turning point.Last,Increasing the control variable does not affect the shape of the curve,but only increases or decreases the turning point of per capita GDP;the relationship between economic growth and industrial environmental pollution varies significantly among cities in different regions of the Yangtze River Economic Belt.The research in this paper not only expands the test objects of environmental Kuznets curve,but also enriches the theoretical explanation of the formation of environmental Kuznets curve.The main conclusions provide certain practical and theoretical guidance for the provincial governments of the Yangtze River Economic Belt when they coordinate the relationship between economic growth and environmental governance.

关 键 词：工业环境污染 长江经济带 经济增长 环境库兹涅茨曲线 环境治理 

分 类 号：F062.2[经济管理—政治经济学]