基于改进Logit模型的昌赣通道客流分担率预测  

Prediction of Passenger Flow Sharing Rate of Chang-Gan Corridor Based on Improved Logit Model

作　　者：艾瑶[1] 徐伟硕 李嘉 张兵[1] 索引 AI Yao;XU Wei-shuo;LI Jia;ZHANG Bing;SUO Yin(East China Jiaotong University,Nanchang 330013,China)

机构地区：[1]华东交通大学,南昌330013

出　　处：《价值工程》2020年第11期221-222,共2页Value Engineering

基　　金：江西省教育厅一般课题“基于数据平衡-支持向量机的高速公路交通事件检测方法研究”(编号GJJ190331)。

摘　　要：为研究高铁修建后对客运通道内其余客运方式分担比率的影响,以昌赣通道为例,在经典的MNL模型基础上引入环境特征和气候特征,从而构建基于改进Logit模型的昌赣通道客流分担率预测模型,并计算了通道内各客运方式的分担比率。In order to study the impact of high-speed railway construction on the share ratio of other passenger transport modes in the passenger transport corridor, taking Chang-Gan corridor as an example, based on the classic MNL models, the environmental characteristics and climate characteristics are introduced, so as to build a forecast model of the sharing rate of passenger flow in the corridor based on the improved logit model, and calculate the share ratio of various passenger transport modes in the corridor.

关 键 词：分担率预测 LOGIT模型 昌赣通道 

分 类 号：U238[交通运输工程—道路与铁道工程]