上海合作组织的困难和前景  

An Analysis of the Challenges and Prospects of the SCO

作　　者：李博一 黄德凯 Li Boyi;Huang Dekai(School of International Relations and Public Affairs,Shanghai International Studies University;Sichuan Police College)

机构地区：[1]上海外国语大学国际关系与公共事务学院 [2]四川警察学院

出　　处：《战略决策研究》2020年第3期85-104,I0002,共21页Journal of Strategy and Decision-Making

摘　　要：上合组织扩员后,面临内部权力再分配与组织再造的困难。首先,上合组织内部的权力分配,可能会由中俄主导模式向多重力量组合模式转化。其次,上合组织可能面临成员国之间差异增大、内部关系架构面临重置、决策效率下降等困难。未来,上合组织需要在角色再建构、功能再定位、内部权力再分配等三个方面进行改革,以适应新的形势,继续发挥地区和全球影响力。With the expansion of the SCO,it is also facing the difficulties of internal power re distribution and re-organization.First of all,the power distribution within the SCO may change from a mode dominated by China and Russia to one that combines multiple powers.Secondly,the SCO may face the difficulties of increasing differences among member states,resetting the internal relationship structure and decreasing decision-making efficiency.In the future,the SCO needs to reform in three aspects:role re-construction,function re-orientation,and internal power re-distribution to adapt to the new situation and continue to exert regional and global influence.

关 键 词：上合组织 扩员 权力再分配 组织再造 

分 类 号：D814.1[政治法律—国际关系]