面向建筑工程事故的灰色模型的研究与应用  

Research and Application of Grey Model for Construction Engineering Accidents

作　　者：王文璟 WANG Wenjing(Dept.of Mechanical Engineering,Tongling Vocational and Technical College,Tongling,Anhui 244000)

机构地区：[1]铜陵职业技术学院机械工程系,安徽铜陵244000

出　　处：《玉林师范学院学报》2019年第5期151-156,共6页Journal of Yulin Normal University

基　　金：2019年度安徽省高校科学研究自然重点项目(KJ2019A1033);2017年高等学校省级质量工程项目(2017jyxm0666);铜陵职业技术学院教研一般项目(JY2016B001)。

摘　　要：为了探究面向建筑工程事故对工程建筑所带来的影响,本文对面向建筑工程事故的灰色模型进行了研究。以国内某大型城市为研究对象,基于实际应用案例对安全事故进行了预测,本文通过对安全事故的虚拟预测,验证了所提出模型的正确性,并对将来几年安全事故进行了预测。本文可为将来的安全事故的预防工作提供借鉴。本文所提出的模型,可为其他城市的建筑工程安全事故预测起到一定的示范作用,具有一定的推广和应用价值。In order to explore the impact of construction accidents on engineering construction,this paper studies the grey model for construction engineering accidents.Firstly,it introduces the research status of construction engineering accident prediction based on grey model,and points out the existence of research today.The problem,then introduced the basic theory of the gray model and its accuracy evaluation system,and then established the construction engineering construction model.Taking a large domestic city as the research object,the safety accident was predicted based on the actual application case.Through the virtual prediction of security incidents,the article verifies the correctness of the proposed model,and proposes and guides the prevention of future security incidents through the prediction of security incidents in the next few years.The results show that the model proposed in the article plays a certain role in the prediction of construction engineering safety accidents in other cities,and has certain promotion and application value.

关 键 词：灰色模型 安全事故预测 建筑工程 

分 类 号：TU712.4[建筑科学—建筑技术科学]