合成氨行业发展情况及未来走势分析  

Analysis of the Development Situation and Future Trend of the Synthetic Ammonia Industry

作　　者：温倩[1] WEN Qian(China National Petroleum and Chemical Planning Institute,Beijing 100013,China)

机构地区：[1]石油和化学工业规划院,北京100013

出　　处：《肥料与健康》2020年第2期6-13,共8页Fertilizer & Health

摘　　要：介绍了世界合成氨行业和我国合成氨行业的发展特点,对我国合成氨行业在农业和工业两大消费领域的未来走势进行了预测分析。基于宏观经济下行、化肥消费量缩减、安全环保升级等严峻形势,预计至“十四五”末,合成氨在农业领域的消费量将降至35000 kt/a左右,年均降速超过2%;合成氨在工业领域的消费量将增至21000 kt/a,年均增速将高于5%;合成氨总消费量与目前基本持平。The development characteristics of the synthetic ammonia industry in the world and in China are introduced,and the future trends of China's synthetic ammonia industry in the two major consumption fields of agriculture and industry are forecasted and analyzed.Based on the grim situation of macroeconomic downturn,reduction of fertilizer consumption and upgrading of safety and environmental protection,it is expected that by the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan period,the consumption of synthetic ammonia in the agricultural sector will fall to about 35000 kt/a,with an average annual reduction rate of more than 2%;consumption of synthetic ammonia in the industrial sector will increase to 21000 kt/a,with an average annual growth rate of more than 5%;the total consumption of synthetic ammonia is basically the same as currently.

关 键 词：合成氨 消费量 预测分析 发展趋势 

分 类 号：TQ113.2[化学工程—无机化工]