基于改进CRITIC-GRA-SPA的“一带一路”基础设施PPP项目融资风险研究  

Research on Financing Risk of“the Belt and Road”Infrastructure PPP Project Based on Improved CRITIC-GRA-SPA

作　　者：范海鹰 FAN Haiying(Emergency Rescue Center of Shengli Oilfield Company(Fire detachment),China Petroleum&Chemical Corporation,Dongying 257000,China)

机构地区：[1]中国石油化工股份有限公司胜利油田分公司应急救援中心(消防支队),山东东营257000

出　　处：《建筑经济》2020年第5期54-59,共6页Construction Economy

摘　　要：为量化“一带一路”基础设施PPP项目的融资风险,构建包含政治、金融、社会、自然环境、建设、运营等方面的评价指标体系,用平均差代替标准差实现对传统CRITIC方法的改进,并将改进CRITIC方法与熵权法进行复合,对各层级指标进行赋权;运用GRA方法与SPA方法的耦合评价模型,综合考虑评价对象各指标因子的同一性、差异性和对立性,将联系度系数量化。结合实际案例,验证该模型的科学合理性,为未来“一带一路”基础设施PPP项目融资风险研究提供新思路。In order to quantify the financing risk of“the Belt and Road”infrastructure PPP project,this paper constructs the financing risk evaluation index system from political,financial,social,natural environment,construction,operation and other aspects.Improves the traditional method with the average difference substituting for the standard deviation and combines the improved method with the entropy weight method to give weight to the indexes at all levels.Uses the coupling evaluation model of GRA and SPA method to comprehensively consider the identity,difference and opposition of each index factor of the evaluation object and quantify the connection degree coefficient.Through the empirical analysis,verifies the scientific feasibility of the model,provides a new idea for the research on financing risk of“the Belt and Road”infrastructure PPP project.

关 键 词：PPP项目 融资风险 改进CRITIC GRA SPA 

分 类 号：TU231.92[建筑科学—建筑设计及理论]