2019年世界及中国合成纤维产业回顾及2020年展望  

2019 Review and 2020 Outlook for World and China Synthetic Fiber Industry

作　　者：李超 赵睿 吕晓东 Li Chao;Zhao Rui;Lü Xiaodong(Sinopec Economics&Development Research Institute Company Limited,Beijing 100029,China)

机构地区：[1]中国石化集团经济技术研究院有限公司,北京100029

出　　处：《当代石油石化》2020年第4期14-17,共4页Petroleum & Petrochemical Today

摘　　要：2019年,中国引领世界合成纤维产业大幅扩能,扩能增量占全球增量的9成以上,其中聚酯产业链是所有合成纤维产业链的扩能主力。世界合成纤维及其原料消费平稳,中国消费旺盛,但由于中国产能增量巨大且主要集中在上游,导致价格下跌幅度较大,使利润向下游转移。2020年上半年新冠疫情对世界合成纤维及其原料消费影响较大,下半年会有大幅反弹,中国合成纤维消费或将低速增长,出口总量较上年持平,但中国依旧是世界合成纤维及其原料扩能的发动机。In 2019, China led the world in expanding capacity of synthetic fibers and their raw materials, accounting for more than 90% of the global increase, with polyester chain as the main driver in the expansion of synthetic fiber chain. The consumption of synthetic fibers and raw materials was stable in the world, while China’s consumption remained strong. However, China’s surging capacity especially in the upstream of synthetic fiber chain has led to a big drop in prices, and shifted profits down the chain. In 2020, the coronavirus pandemic will hit hard the world’s synthetic fiber industry in the first half year in terms of consumption of both synthetic fibers and raw materials, and a sharp rebound is expected in the second half year. China’s synthetic fiber consumption may increase at a low rate, and its total export volume will remain flat compared with the previous year. However, China is still the world’s engine for expanding capacity of synthetic fibers and raw materials.

关 键 词：世界 中国 合成纤维 合成纤维原料 产能 消费 

分 类 号：F416.7[经济管理—产业经济]