基于模糊综合评价法评估海底管道溢油污染风险  

Risk Evaluating of Oil Spill Pollution in Submarine Pipelines Based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation

作　　者：尹维翰[1,2] 屈植 李耀如 刘莹颖 温婷婷 YIN Wei-han;QU Zhi;LI Yao-ru;LIU Ying-ying;WEN Ting-ting(North China Sea Environmental Monitoring Center,SOA,Qingdao Shandong 266003 China;Key Laboratory of Marine Spill Oil Identification&Damage Assessment Technology,SOA,Qingdao Shandong 266003,China;Technical Department of CNOOC,Tianjin 300450,China)

机构地区：[1]国家海洋局北海环境监测中心,山东青岛266033 [2]国家海洋局海洋溢油鉴别与损害评估技术重点实验室,山东青岛266033 [3]中海石油(中国)有限公司天津分公司,天津300450

出　　处：《船海工程》2020年第2期84-88,共5页Ship & Ocean Engineering

基　　金：海洋环境安全重点保障专项(YFC1402300)。

摘　　要：针对海底输油管道溢油的潜在因素,识别溢油风险危险源和风险诱因,确定溢油评估体系中的各级指标,采用层次分析法和专家评估法对选定指标赋予权重,最终构建出海底管道溢油风险评估指标体系,并利用模糊综合评定法对所选案例进行溢油风险评估。评估结果适用性较好,可为海洋溢油风险评估提供依据。Aiming at the potential factors of oil spill for submarine pipeline,the risk sources and inducements of oil spill were identified,and various indicators in the evaluation system of oil spill were determine.The analytic hierarchy process and expert evaluation method were applied to select the weight of each indicator,so as to construct the submarine pipeline oil spill risk assessment index system.The risk of oil spill in selected cases was evaluated by fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method.The appraisal results have good applicability and can provide a basis for marine oil spill risk assessment.

关 键 词：海洋溢油 海底管道 模糊综合评价 

分 类 号：U698.7[交通运输工程—港口、海岸及近海工程] P76[交通运输工程—船舶与海洋工程]