城镇化、人口密度与居民消费率  

Urbanization,Population Density and Household Consumption Rate

作　　者：郑得坤 李凌[2] ZHENG Dekun;LI Ling(Institute of Economics,Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences,Shanghai 200030;Think Tank Research Center,Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences,Shanghai 200020)

机构地区：[1]上海社会科学院经济研究所,上海200030 [2]上海社会科学院智库研究中心,上海200020

出　　处：《首都经济贸易大学学报》2020年第2期13-24,共12页Journal of Capital University of Economics and Business

基　　金：国家社会科学基金青年项目“收入分配、居民消费与中国经济转型研究”(15CJL024);上海社会科学院经济研究所项目“城镇化背景下的居民消费模式研究”。

摘　　要：利用地市级面板数据对城市人口规模、城市人口密度与居民消费率的关联展开研究。结果显示,城市人口规模的扩大并不能提升居民消费率,城市人口密度的增大才能提升居民消费率。因此,只有逐步改变过去"摊大饼"式、粗放扩张的城镇化发展模式,着力增强城市的人口吸纳能力,提高城市人口密度,降低运人的成本、运物的成本和知识传播的成本,才能充分发挥城市的集聚效应对居民消费率的提升作用。This paper uses prefecture-level panel data to conduct empirical research on the correlation between urban population size,population density,and residents’consumption rate.The results show that the expansion of the urban population cannot increase the consumption rate of the residents,and the increase of the urban population density can increase the consumption rate of the residents.Therefore,it is necessary to gradually change the past"broad cake"type and extensive expansion of the urbanization development model,and strive to enhance the urban population absorption capacity,increase the urban population density,reduce the cost of transporting people,the cost of transporting goods,and the cost of transporting ideas to give full play to the role of urban agglomeration to enhance the resident consumption rate.

关 键 词：城镇化 城市人口规模 城市人口密度 居民消费率 

分 类 号：F299.2[经济管理—国民经济]