我国制造业经济增长与生态压力脱钩关系研究  

Study on the Decoupling Relationship between Economic Growth and Ecological Pressure in China’s Manufacturing Industry

作　　者：胡怡文 杨晓华[2] HU Yi-wen;YANG Xiao-hua(School of Economics,Beijing Technology and Business University,100048,Beijing,China;School of Mathematics and Statistics,Beijing Technology and Business University,100048,Beijing,China)

机构地区：[1]北京工商大学数学与统计学院,北京100048 [2]北京工商大学经济学院,北京100048

出　　处：《特区经济》2020年第4期39-42,共4页Special Zone Economy

基　　金：国家社科基金青年项目“考虑能源回弹效应的制造业节能减排效果研究”(14CTJ013);北京社科基金项目“考虑能源回弹效应的北京市节能减排效果研究:统计测算和路径优化”(15JGC152)的部分研究成果。

摘　　要：本文以1987-2016年为研究期限,运用Tapio速度脱钩模型,用逐期脱钩和跨期脱钩两种测度方法,分别对碳排放和制造业经济增长、碳足迹生态压力和制造业经济增长之间的关系进行分析。其中,逐期速度脱钩表明,两脱钩状态主要呈现出强负脱钩、扩张负脱钩和增长连结三种状态;跨期速度脱钩研究表明,虽然我国制造业在采取节能减排上取得一定的成效,但是碳排放所带来的生态压力问题仍不容忽视。Taking 1987-2016 as the research period,this article uses the Tapio decoupling model,including phase-by-phase decoupling methods and intertemporal decoupling methods to measure the relation between carbon emissions and manufacturing economic growth,carbon footprint ecological pressure and manufacturing economic growth.Among this research,the phase-by-phase speed decoupling indicates that the two decoupling states mainly show three states:strong negative decoupling,expansion negative decoupling,and growth connection.While the intertemporal speed decoupling research shows that although China’s manufacturing industry has achieved preliminary results in energy conservation and emission reduction,the ecological pressure caused by carbon emissions cannot be ignored.

关 键 词：速度脱钩 碳排放 碳足迹生态压力 

分 类 号：F42[经济管理—产业经济]