消费升级对劳动生产率的影响研究——基于VAR模型的实证分析  

Study on the Impact of Consumption Upgrading on Labor Productivity--An Empirical Analysis based on VAR Model

作　　者：李通屏[1] 马骏 丁舒熳 LI Tong-ping;MA Jun;DING Shu-man(China University of Geosciences(Wuhan),430074,Wuhan,Hubei,China)

机构地区：[1]中国地质大学(武汉),湖北武汉430074

出　　处：《特区经济》2020年第4期49-53,共5页Special Zone Economy

基　　金：湖北省区域创新能力监测与分析软科学研究基地项目“中国劳动生产率的区域不平衡研究”(项目编号:HBQY2019z11)。

摘　　要：本文从促进"消费-生产"经济循环更加顺畅的角度出发,使用中国1992-2017年的数据,运用VAR模型研究中国消费升级对劳动生产率的影响效应。研究结果显示:消费升级对劳动生产率存在显著且稳健的促进效应;农村的消费升级对劳动生产率的带动作用暂时要弱于城市,但未来会强于城市。由此提出建议:持续推动消费升级,以消费升级带动劳动生产率的提升;刺激农村居民消费升级,助力脱贫攻坚工作。From the point of view of promoting a smoother "consumption-production" economic cycle,using China’s data from 1992-2017,the VAR model is used to study the effect of China’s consumption upgrading on labor productivity.The results show that consumption upgrading has a significant and steady effect on the promotion of labor productivity,and the effect of consumption upgrading in rural areas on labor productivity is temporarily weaker than that of cities,but will be stronger than that of cities in the future.This is the proposal:continue to promote consumption upgrading,and let consumption upgrading promote the labor productivity;stimulate rural residents to upgrade consumption to fight poverty.

关 键 词：消费升级 劳动生产率 VAR 

分 类 号：F424.3[经济管理—产业经济]