太原都市圈人口与产业空间集聚演化与匹配性研究  

Research on Evolution and Matching of Spatial Agglomeration of Population and Industry in Taiyuan Metropolitan Area

作　　者：孙晓芳[1] 韩佳宾 SUN Xiaofang;HAN Jiabin(School of Economics, Shanxi University of Finance and Economics, Taiyuan 030006,China)

机构地区：[1]山西财经大学经济学院,山西太原030006

出　　处：《山西高等学校社会科学学报》2020年第5期7-15,共9页Social Sciences Journal of Universities in Shanxi

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究项目“智能经济时代劳动形态演变与就业结构研究”(18YJC79144)子课题“智能经济背景下我国就业结构空间极化研究及趋势预测”;山西省软科学研究项目“太原都市圈人口社会空间分异与多中心城市结构演化测度”(2016041013-05)之阶段性成果。

摘　　要：都市圈作为新型城镇化发展的主体形态,其人口与产业的协调发展是区域经济高质量运行的保障。基于新经济地理学“中心—外围”模型,建立人口与产业非协同集聚演化的理论框架,阐明人口产业集聚的三阶段及其影响因素。选取2008—2017年太原都市圈28个市、县(区)数据,构建人口与产业不一致指数的动态面板模型,科学测度太原都市圈人口与产业非协同集聚现状,刻画人口与产业不匹配程度及变化趋势,深入剖析各类影响因素。研究表明:统筹人口发展与产业发展战略,依托产业融合优化人口空间布局,引进和培育新兴产业,依托第三产业带动人口高质量就业,减少区域间人口流动的障碍和壁垒是太原都市圈人口与产业协同发展的必然路径。As the main form of new urbanization development,the metropolitan area has become the guarantee for the high-quality development of regional economy in terms of the harmonious development of population and industry in it.Based on the core-peripheral model of the new economic geography,this paper constructs a theoretical framework for the non-cooperative agglomeration evolution of population and industry,clarifies the three stages of population and industrial agglomeration and its influencing factors,by means of selecting the data about 28 cities and counties(districts)of Taiyuan Metropolitan Area from 2008 to 2017 and establishing a dynamic panel model of the inconsistency index between population and industry,intending to scientifically measure the status quo of non collaborative agglomeration of population and industry in Taiyuan metropolitan area,depicts the degree of population and industry mismatch and change trend,and deeply analyzing various influencing factors.The research shows that it is an inevitable path for the coordinated development of population and industry in Taiyuan metropolitan area to coordinate the strategy of population development and industry development,optimize the spatial distribution of population relying on industry integration,introduce and cultivate new industries,promote high-quality employment of population relying on the tertiary industry,and reduce the obstacles and barriers of inter-regional population flow.

关 键 词：“中心—外围”模型 非协同集聚 不一致性 匹配性 城市群 

分 类 号：C915[经济管理]