“一带一路”沿线国家劳动生产率增长及因素分解:2000-2017年——基于53个国家的比较  

Labor Productivity Growth and Factor Decomposition along“the Belt and Road”Countries:2000-2017--Based on the Comparisons of 53 Countries

作　　者：胡晨沛 HU Chenpei(Intermational Statistical Information Center,National Bureau of Statistics,Bejing 100826)

机构地区：[1]国家统计局国际统计信息中心,北京100826

出　　处：《国际商务（对外经济贸易大学学报）》2020年第3期71-84,共14页INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS

基　　金：浙江省杰出青年科学基金项目“经济由高速度增长向高质量发展转变的实现建模与实证分析”(LR20G030001);浙江省哲学社会科学基金项目“适合中国国情的总量生产函数模型构建及应用研究”(19NDJC198YB)。

摘　　要：劳动生产率对于提高经济发展质量和经济长期增长具有重要作用。基于2000-2017年"一带一路"53个沿线国家劳动生产率的增长趋势,采用指数实证研究方法将劳动生产率分解为纯生产率效应、鲍默效应和丹尼森效应三种结构因素。研究结果表明,2000年以来"一带一路"沿线国家劳动生产率整体呈上升趋势,包括中国在内的多数国家劳动生产率主要是依靠纯生产率效应驱动,但近年来随着资本深化作用的减弱,主要沿线国家的纯生产率效应有所下降。基于所得研究结论,最终从优化营商环境、推进服务业现代化改革等方面为中国及"一带一路"沿线国家劳动生产率增长提供相关政策建议。Labor productivity plays an important role in improving the quality of economic development and long-term economic growth. Based on the growth trend of labor productivity in 53 economies along "the Belt and Road"from 2000 to 2017,this paper applies the index empirical research method to decompose labor productivity into three structural factors including pure productivity effect,Baumer effect,and Denison effect.The study results show that the labor productivity of the economies along "the Belt and Road"has improved since 2000,and the labor productivity of most economies was mainly driven by the net productivity effect which has declined in recent years because the capital deepening effect weakened. Based on the research conclusions,we provide relevant policy recommendations for China and "the Belt and Road"economies to improve labor productivity from optimizing business environment and pushing forward the reform of service modernization.

关 键 词：“一带一路” 劳动生产率 纯生产率效应 资本深化 

分 类 号：F016.2[经济管理—政治经济学] F016.3