基于贝叶斯反馈云模型的陆军防空兵作战能力评估研究  

Research on Combat Capability Evaluation of Air Defense Forces Based on Bayesian Feedback Cloud Model

作　　者：金宏鹏 谷亚辉 JIN Hong-peng;GU Ya-hui(Unit 32140,Shijiazhuang 050061,China)

机构地区：[1]32140部队,石家庄050061

出　　处：《价值工程》2020年第15期216-220,共5页Value Engineering

摘　　要：本文根据贝叶斯后验概率公式对云模型参数进行修正,建立陆军防空兵作战能力评估标尺云,构建能力评估判断矩阵,采用排队法计算各评估指标权重系数,进而得出防空兵作战能力评估云图,实现对陆军防空兵作战能力的评估。通过对评估方法的理论分析和案例应用,验证了评估方法的适用性和有效性。This paper revises the parameters of the cloud model according to the Bayes posterior probability formula,establishes the scale cloud of the combat capability evaluation of the army air defense forces,constructs the judgment matrix of the capability evaluation,calculates the weight coefficient of each evaluation index by the queuing method,and then obtains the cloud chart of the combat capability evaluation of the air defense forces,so as to realize the evaluation of the combat capability of the army air defense forces.Through the theoretical analysis and case application of the evaluation method,the applicability and effectiveness of the evaluation method are verified.

关 键 词：贝叶斯理论 云模型 防空兵作战能力 

分 类 号：E917[军事]