基于总量控制的电力碳排放两阶段优化模型研究——以黑龙江省为例  

Two-Stage Optimal Model of Electric Power Carbon Emission Based on Total Quantity Control:A Case Study of Heilongjiang

作　　者：熊斌[1] 付凌波 XIONG Bin;FU Lingbo(School of Public Policy and Management,Guangxi University,Nanning Guangxi 530004,China;School of Electrical Engineering,Guangxi University,Nanning Guangxi 530004,China)

机构地区：[1]广西大学公共管理学院,广西南宁530004 [2]广西大学电气工程学院,广西南宁530004

出　　处：《生态经济》2020年第6期39-43,共5页Ecological Economy

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“基于大数据的城市雾霾灾害风险控制及区域协同治理路径研究”(17BSH040)。

摘　　要：随着全球变暖的不断加剧,我国对电力行业的碳排放控制愈发严格,不少省份也开始制定电源结构调整战略以减少碳排放量。论文以解决"火电为主"的典型电源结构的碳排放问题为目标,在重点考虑煤炭约束和碳排放约束条件的前提下,加入不同情景分析技术,建立基于总量控制的电力碳排放两阶段优化模型,并选取黑龙江为典型省份,通过模型实证计算,分析未来一定时间段内该省电源结构调整方向以及电力行业污染治理模式。With the increasing global warming,China’s carbon emission control is becoming more and more stringent.Many provinces have begun to formulate strategies for power source restructuring to reduce carbon emissions.Aiming at solving the carbon emission problem of typical power supply structure of mainly Coal-fired plants,the two-stage optimization model based on total amount control is established by adding multiple scenario analysis and considering the coal and carbon emission constraints.Then,select Heilongjiang as a typical province,through the empirical analysis of the model,the paper calculate the direction of Heilongjiang Province’s power structure adjustment and the pollution control mode of the power industry in a certain period of time in the future.

关 键 词：区域两阶段优化 总量控制 电源结构调整 多情景分析 碳减排 

分 类 号：F062.2[经济管理—政治经济学] F124.5