中国省际绿色发展的空间关联及溢出效应  

Spatial Correlation and Spillover Effect of China’s Inter-Provincial Green Development

作　　者：刘小瑜[1] 余海华 LIU Xiao-yu;YU Hai-hua(Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics,Nanchang 330013;Minnan Normal University,Zhangzhou 363000,China)

机构地区：[1]江西财经大学统计学院,江西南昌330013 [2]闽南师范大学数学与统计学院,福建漳州363000

出　　处：《江西财经大学学报》2020年第3期14-24,共11页Journal of Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics

基　　金：福建省中青年教师教育科研项目“金融系统复杂性的若干问题研究”(JT180315);江西省研究生创新专项资金项目“基于函数型金融高频数据的波动率预测研究”(YC2018-B061)。

摘　　要：基于四部委联合发布的2016年中国31省份绿色发展指数,运用引力模型和社会网络分析法解析了中国省际绿色发展的空间关联及溢出效应。研究表明:中国省际绿色发展空间关联具有显著的通达性、稳定性和非均衡性;各省份及各板块之间联系紧密,溢出效应显著,东部省份主要属于净收益板块,彼此之间的关联性更强,中西部省份主要属于净溢出板块;绿色发展中心集中在东部地区,其接收的溢出关系较多,吸引着要素资源的不断流入,并对关联省份的绿色发展影响较大;各省份在地理位置、生态环境禀赋、技术创新、城镇化、环境规制等方面的显著差异,共同促进了绿色发展省际关联及溢出效应的形成。树立空间一体化发展理念,充分发挥区域关联与溢出效应,制定区域差别化政策,形成区域均衡协同的绿色发展格局。Based on the 2016 Green Development Index of 31 provinces in China jointly issued by four ministries,this paper applies the gravitational model and social network analysis method to comprehensively analyze the spatial correlation and spillover effect of China’s in ter-provincial green development.The findings show that the spatial correlation of China’s inter-provincial green development has remarkable accessibility,stability and non-equilibrium.There is a close connection and significant spillover effect between provinces or plates;the eastern provinces are mainly net income seg ments,having more close relevance between each other;the central and western provinces are mainly net spillover plates.The center of green development is mainly concentrated in the eastern regions,which receive more spillovers and constantly attract the inflow of green development elements and resources,exerting greater impact on the green development of the related provinces.Each province has significant differences in geographical location,ecological environment endowment,technological innovation,urbanization level and environmental regulations,etc.,that has jointly promoted the formation of inter-provincial correlation and spillover effect of green development.We should establish the green development concept of spatial integration,give full play to regional correlation and spillover effects,make differential regional policies,and form green development pattern of regional equilibrium and synergy.

关 键 词：绿色发展 引力模型 社会网络分析 空间关联 溢出效应 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济] F124.5