基于武器贸易数据的地缘军事态势分析  

Geo-military Situation Analysis Based on Arms Trade Data

作　　者：张兴伦 王光霞[1] ZHANG Xinglun;WANG Guangxia(Geospatial Information Institute, Information Engineering University, Zhengzhou 450001, China;Xi’an Surveying and Mapping Center, Xi’an 710054, China)

机构地区：[1]信息工程大学地理空间信息学院,郑州450001 [2]西安测绘总站,西安710054

出　　处：《地域研究与开发》2020年第3期1-5,12,共6页Areal Research and Development

摘　　要：基于全球武器贸易数据,选取中心度、影响力指数和模块度等社会网络分析指标,探究21世纪以来全球武器贸易网络的空间格局、特征等地缘军事态势。结果表明:(1)全球武器贸易规模不断扩大,空间不平衡特点明显。大国在特殊地缘区位地区的战略调整,促进了武器贸易的空间格局形成。(2)地缘军事外部影响力与国家或地区军费支出和武器出口的地缘空间层次等密切相关,受外部影响力则与自身的武器贸易对外依存度息息相关。(3)通过全球武器贸易网络群体划分,可以概略地认识国家或地区倾向于合作和靠拢的阵营,分辨国家或地区间疏近关系,为发现潜在威胁、制定方针政策等提供有价值的参考。Based on the arms trade data,the social network analysis methods such as centrality,influence index and modularity are selected to explore the geo-military situation such as the spatial pattern and characteristics of the global arms trade network since the 21st century.The research shows that:(1)The scale of global arms trade is expanding and the spatial imbalance is obvious.The strategic adjustment of big countries in special geographical areas has promoted the formation of the spatial pattern of arms trade.(2)The geo-military influence to the other countries is closely related to the national military expenditure and the geo-spatial level of arms export,while the influence by the other countries is closely related to the external dependence of arms trade.(3)Through the division of global arms trade network groups,can roughly understand the camps that countries or regions tend to cooperate and approach,distinguish the close relations between countries or regions,and provide valuable reference for discovering potential threats and formulating principles and policies.

关 键 词：武器贸易 社会网络分析 中心度 影响力指数 “同盟”关系 

分 类 号：K901.4[历史地理—人文地理学] P283[天文地球—地图制图学与地理信息工程]