唐山市铁路客货运量对区域社会经济系统的影响分析  

Analysis of the Impact of Railway Passenger and Freight Traffic on Regional Social and Economic System in Tangshan City

作　　者：薛锋[1,2] 徐莉 XUE Feng;XU Li(School of Transportation and Logistics,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu 611756,China;National United Engineering Laboratory of Integrated and Intelligent Transportation,Chengdu 611756,China;Graduate school of Tangshan,Southwest Jiaotong University,Tangshan 063000,China)

机构地区：[1]西南交通大学交通运输与物流学院,成都611756 [2]综合交通运输智能化国家地方联合工程实验室,成都611756 [3]西南交通大学唐山研究生院,河北唐山063000

出　　处：《交通运输工程与信息学报》2020年第2期75-82,共8页Journal of Transportation Engineering and Information

基　　金：四川省社会科学规划项目“统计发展专项课题”(SC19TJ027);西南交通大学“双一流”建设项目(交通软科学类)(JDSYLYB2018030);教育部人文社会科学研究项目(20YJCZH113)。

摘　　要：铁路客货运量不仅是反映区域社会经济发展程度的重要指标,也是影响区域社会经济系统发展的重要因素。本文从经济子系统、人口子系统、产业子系统、交通子系统四个子系统共12个指标出发,通过灰色关联法研究唐山市铁路客货运量对唐山社会经济系统各指标的综合影响程度。并在此基础上,利用熵权法计算各指标在对应系统中的重要程度,进而得到各子系统影响得分以及社会经济系统的综合影响得分,并根据计算结果进行了分析,其计算及分析结果可为相关部门提供决策参考。The volume of railway passenger and freight traffic is a significant indicator reflecting the degree of regional social and economic development and also a critical factor influencing the development of regional socio-economic systems.This paper focuses on the economic,population,industrial,and traffic subsystems.Twelve indicators were analyzed for the four subsystems,and the gray correlation method was used to examine the degree of comprehensive influence of the Tangshan railway passenger and freight traffic on the Tangshan social and economic system indicators.Based on this degree,the entropy weight method was used to determine the importance of each index in the corresponding system and the impact scores of each subsystem.Subsequently,the comprehensive impact score of the socio-economic system was obtained and analyzed on the basis of the calculation results.The calculation and analysis results can provide decision-making reference for relevant departments.

关 键 词：铁路运输 区域经济 灰色关联法 熵权法 

分 类 号：F532[经济管理—产业经济] F124