新冠肺炎感染人群的人口学分析--以我国10省市区为例  

Demographic Analysis of the Population Affected by COVID-19--A Case Study of 10 Provinces and Municipalities in China

作　　者：晏月平[1] 李忠骥 YAN Yue-ping;LI Zhong-ji(Institute of Population Research,Yunnan University,Kunming 650091,China)

机构地区：[1]云南大学人口研究所,云南昆明650091

出　　处：《人口与发展》2020年第3期73-85,64,共14页Population and Development

摘　　要：新型冠状病毒(2019-nCoV)肺炎疫情在湖北武汉爆发后,陆续扩散到全国31个省市区。我国疫情防控形势十分严峻。目前,学界大多基于传染病的防治与治疗等视角对新冠肺炎疫情展开研究,本文选取公布新冠肺炎患者个体信息最为详细的10省区市作为研究对象,并根据当地经济社会发展现状,以新冠肺炎病毒自身传播性强、感染率高、潜伏期长等特征为基础,从人口学视角出发,归纳并总结新冠肺炎感染群体所呈现出的典型特征,并深入分析其原因。这一定意义上,有助于相关部门客观掌握新冠疫情发展趋势,科学评估疫情风险,灵活、具体地制定防控策略和措施。After the outbreak of COVID-19(2019-ncov)in Wuhan,Hubei province,it has spread to 31 provinces and municipalities in China.The situation of epidemic prevention and control is very grim.Most of the academic circles have also carried out researches on new crown pneumonia from the traditional perspective of prevention and treatment of infectious diseases.Based on the information about the infected groups in 10 provinces and cities published on the official website of the provincial health commission,this paper summarized the typical characte-ristics of the infected groups in the perspective of population,nature and society from the perspective of demography according to the current situation of local economic and social development,and analyzed the causes.In a certain sense,it is helpful for the relevant departments to grasp the demographic characteristics and development trend of the outbreak of the new crown,scientifically assess the risk of the outbreak,and formulate strict,flexible and specific prevention and control strategies and measures.

关 键 词：新冠肺炎 感染群体 疫情防治 人口学分析 

分 类 号：R181.8[医药卫生—流行病学]