分宜县土地人口承载潜力研究  

Research on Land Population Carrying Potential in Fenyi County

作　　者：李琛 LI Chen(College of Public Administration,Hohai University,Nanjing Jiangsu 210098)

机构地区：[1]河海大学公共管理学院,江苏南京210098

出　　处：《现代农业科技》2020年第11期263-263,265,共2页Modern Agricultural Science and Technology

摘　　要：本文以土地资源的可持续利用为探讨目标,以分宜县为例,着重分析了分宜县土地资源承载潜力状况,具体包括耕地面积和主要作物产量,并通过预测粮食单产和人口数量对分宜县土地人口承载潜力进行预测。结果表明,未来分宜县土地可承载的人口数量小于预期人口数量。因此,需要提高对土地的利用率,保护土地资源,转变土地利用方式,促进土地资源的可持续利用。This article took the sustainable use of land resources as an exploration goal,and took Fenyi County as an example,analyzed the carrying potential of land resource of Fenyi County,including the cultivated land area and the yield of main crop,and predicted the land population carrying potential of Fenyi County by predicting grain yield and population.The results showed that in the future,the population that the land can carry is less than the expected population in Fenyi County.Therefore,it was necessary to increase the utilization rate of land,protect land resources,transform land use methods,and promote the sustainable use of land resources.

关 键 词：土地人口承载潜力 预测 江西分宜 

分 类 号：F301[经济管理—产业经济] C924.1[社会学—人口学]