统计分析方法与美国政治学研究  

Statistical Analysis Methods and American Political Science Research

作　　者：苏毓淞[1] 刘江锐 Su Yusong;Liu Jiangrui

机构地区：[1]清华大学政治学系

出　　处：《美国研究》2020年第3期107-125,7,8,共21页The Chinese Journal of American Studies

摘　　要：统计分析方法在美国政治学研究中发挥着重要作用。自20世纪初统计分析方法在美国政治学研究中萌芽,至形成政治学研究常见运用统计分析的局面,再至当下大数据时代对研究范式的冲击,它的产生与发展走过了不同阶段,并依然在变化发展中。统计分析方法在美国政治学研究中的运用与发展归功于将统计分析方法与政治现实相结合的学者们的努力。统计分析方法仍在不断改进与更新,以应对内生性问题、数据结构多层问题、模型参数识别问题、统计显著性问题和因果推论难免的假设强弱等问题。在可预见的未来,统计分析方法依然会在美国政治学研究中发挥重要作用,同时也将直面大数据时代大数据分析技术相对于传统统计分析在数据处理方面的优势。Statistical analysis methods play an important role in American political science research.From the beginning of the 20th century,when the statistical analysis method was germinated in American political science research,to the situation where statistical analysis is commonly used in political science research,to the current era of big data influencing the research paradigm,its emergence and development have gone through different stages,and it is still in the process of change and development.The application and development of statistical analysis methods in American political science research are attributed to the efforts of scholars who are dedicated to the combination of statistical analytical methods and political reality.In the foreseeable future,statistical analysis methods will continue to be an important tool in American political science research,and it will also have to deal with the advantages of big data analytics technology over traditional statistical analysis in data processing in the era of big data.

关 键 词：美国政治 研究方法 统计分析 定量分析 

分 类 号：C81[社会学—统计学] D0[政治法律—政治学]