当前俄罗斯朝鲜半岛政策的转变及发展走向  

Changes and Development of Russia’s Policy towards Korean Peninsula

作　　者：李连祺 姜振军 Li Lianqi;Jiang Zhenjun

机构地区：[1]黑龙江大学俄罗斯语言文学与文化研究中心

出　　处：《俄罗斯东欧中亚研究》2020年第3期53-65,156,共14页Russian，East European & Central Asian Studies

基　　金：黑龙江大学对俄问题研究专项项目“新形势下中俄经贸合作态势及其重大法律问题研究”(项目编号:DE1903);教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目“‘一带一路’框架下中俄合作机制、模式与路径研究”(17JJDGJW004);黑龙江省哲学社会科学项目“大数据背景下中俄蒙经济走廊国际投资规则建设研究”(18FXB015)的阶段性研究成果。

摘　　要：当前朝鲜半岛局势出现峰回路转的变化,俄罗斯关于朝鲜半岛的政策发生不少重要变化,从以往反应式外交转变为积极参与的战略主动,并希望通过多方协商机制使俄罗斯成为在东北亚占据“主导”地位的大国。具体政策转变主要包括:通过增加军事影响力确保半岛的和平与稳定、实现对俄罗斯有利的势力均衡、建立与朝韩的紧密经济合作关系。同时俄罗斯在朝鲜半岛议题上争取的国家利益出现了重大转变,希望成为与各方皆可合作的对象。当中国与俄罗斯对国家定位出现相同思考时,国家利益的优先级与互动关系也将随之变化,进而形成中俄联手在朝鲜半岛问题上的战略合作,建构区域冲突的政治协商机制,摆脱美国单边主义驾驭,将朝鲜半岛局势引入和平轨道。Currently,the situation in the Korean peninsula has turned a corner after many frustrations and many important changes have taken place in Russia’s policy on the Korean peninsula.Generally Speaking,it changes from the previously reactive diplomacy to an actively involved strategy and aims to dominate the situation in Northeast Asia through a multi-party negotiation mechanism.More specifically,the changes include ensuring peace and stability on the peninsula by increasing military influence,achieving a balance of power beneficial to Russia,and establishing close economic cooperation with North Korea and South Korea.Simultaneously,Russia’s national interests on the Korean Peninsula issue have changes and it hopes to become a potential partner for all parties concerned.When China and Russia have the same thoughts on national positioning,the priority and interaction of their national interests also change,thus forming a strategic cooperation between China and Russia on the Korean Peninsula issue,constructing a political negotiation mechanism for regional conflicts,getting rid of the US’s Unilateralism and leading the development of the Korean Peninsula into a peaceful orbit.

关 键 词：俄罗斯 朝鲜半岛政策 国家利益 

分 类 号：D851.2[政治法律—政治学] D831.2[政治法律—外交学]