中国客源地出游力的空间异质性与收敛性分析  

Spatial Heterogeneity and Convergence Analysis about the Traveling Force of China’s Tourist Sources

作　　者：李宁 周丽君 王昱 赵伟 LI Ning;ZHOU Li-jun;WANG Yu;ZHAO Wei(School of Geographical Science,Northeast Normal University,Changchun 130024,China)

机构地区：[1]东北师范大学地理科学学院,吉林长春130024

出　　处：《资源开发与市场》2020年第6期640-646,共7页Resource Development & Market

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目资助(编号:18BMZ067)。

摘　　要：开展客源地出游力研究有利于促进区域旅游生产力发展及其发展战略的制定。采用客源地出游力评价模型和Moran’s I指数,对我国31个省份的旅游出游力进行了分析。结果发现:我国客源地出游力的空间异质性在2000-2010年间并不明显,而2010-2015年间开始变得比较显著;2000-2015年我国各地区的旅游出游力存在明显的空间绝对收敛现象,并且这种收敛现象同时受到地区之间的空间溢出效应和空间误差效应的双重影响,前者使客源地之间旅游出游力的收敛速度减弱,而后者在一定程度上增加了各地区之间旅游出游力的收敛速度。To study the traveling force of tourist source areas could promote the development of regional tourism productivity,and formulation of development strategy.Using the model of evaluating the traveling force of tourist source areas and the Moran’s index,the paper analyzed the spatial correlation of the traveling force of 31 provinces,cities and districts in China,we found that the spatial heterogeneity of the traveling force of China’s tourist sources was not obvious between the year of 2000 and 2010,while it began to become more pronounced between the year of 2010 and 2015.And then,using the space absolute β convergence model and the spatial conditional β convergence model,this paper measured the spatial convergence of the traveling force of China’s tourist sources the year of 2000 and 2015,we found that there was obvious spatial absolute convergence in traveling force of tourist sources during this period.In addition,both interregional spatial spillover effect and spatial error effect influenced this convergence phenomenon at the same time,the former caused the convergence rate of the traveling force between tourist sources to decrease,but the latter was just opposite,to a certain extent,it increased the convergence speed of the traveling force between tourist sources.

关 键 词：客源地出游力 空间相关性 空间异质性 空间收敛性 

分 类 号：F59[经济管理—旅游管理]