基于投入产出分析的农业产品价格政策模拟  

Policy Simulation of Agricultural Product Price Based on Input-Output Analysis

作　　者：骆乐[1] 方逸伦 LUO Le;FANG Yilun(School of Economics and Management, Shandong Agricultural University, Tai’an 271000, China)

机构地区：[1]山东农业大学经济管理学院,山东泰安271000

出　　处：《复杂系统与复杂性科学》2020年第2期67-75,共9页Complex Systems and Complexity Science

基　　金：山东省社科规划项目(18CZKJ25)。

摘　　要：为研究农业产品价格变动对其它产业价格的影响,利用国家统计局投入产出数据,建立投入产出模型进行农业产品价格政策模拟。研究结果表明,2017年农业产品价格上涨对与之关联较强的少数部门有一定影响,对大多数部门影响不大,且和往年相比,年度差异较小,因此政府应允许农业产品价格在大众可接受范围内波动。In order to investigate how the agricultural product price influences the other product prices,we establish an input-output analysis model to conduct a policy simulation of agricultural product price by using the data from the National Bureau of Statistics.The results show that raising the price of agricultural product has a certain impact on minority industrial sectors which have strong relevancy with agriculture,and it has little impact on majority industrial sectors.Compared with the previous years,the differences between every two years are very small.The government should allow the price of the agricultural product to fluctuate in an acceptable range for the most people.

关 键 词：农业产品价格 投入产出分析 政策模拟 

分 类 号：F323[经济管理—产业经济]